The 2024 U.S. presidential race between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris is exceptionally close, with no clear frontrunner. Recent national polls indicate a near tie, with Harris holding a slight lead of about 1 to 2 percentage points. In key battleground states, the margins are razor-thin, making the outcome highly uncertain.

Prediction markets, which allow individuals to bet on election outcomes, have shown fluctuating odds. Platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi have recently adjusted Trump's chances downward, yet he remains slightly favored over Harris. These markets reflect the collective sentiment of bettors but are not always accurate predictors.

Given the tightness of the race and the variability in both polls and prediction markets, it's challenging to assert with certainty who will win the election. The final result will depend on voter turnout and decisions in the remaining days leading up to Election Day.