Bitcoin’s current market movement suggests that the bull cycle is still unfolding, with historical patterns indicating a potential continuation of upward momentum. The analysis compares the 2013 and 2020 bull cycles, where long-term holders capitalized on profits twice before the cycles peaked.
Cryptocurrency bull cycle still in progress“It may take several months or more than a year for liquidity to be sufficiently supplied to the market, but in the investment market, prices move first due to the expectations of market participants, so even if we make a rough… pic.twitter.com/5LTMzuQywE
— CryptoQuant.com (@cryptoquant_com) October 11, 2024
Examining Bitcoin’s historical bull cycles reveals distinct patterns in long-term investor behavior. During the 2013 and 2020 cycles, investors realized profits in two significant phases, leading to double peaks. The absence of a similar adjustment in 2017 suggests that the ongoing cycle is more aligned with the characteristics observed in 2013 and 2020 rather than a single upward trajectory like 2017.
Interest Rate Cuts and Market Expectations
Another factor influencing market sentiment is the recent trend toward interest rate cuts. While liquidity may take several months or over a year to penetrate the broader market, the cryptocurrency investment landscape often anticipates such changes. This forward-looking nature means prices can begin to rise based on expectations rather than immediate changes in monetary policy.
Given these factors, a favorable market movement is anticipated for 2025. Investors adopting a long-term approach, considering the broader macro trends rather than focusing solely on short-term fluctuations, are more likely to benefit from substantial returns.
Adopting a “big frame” investment strategy that aligns with the overall cycle trajectory could offer more rewarding results than shorter-term tactics. With historical indicators suggesting another leg up in this bull cycle, current market conditions may provide a significant opportunity for long-term investors.
