According to BlockBeats, the BitVol Index, a measure of Bitcoin's expected 30-day implied volatility derived from tradable Bitcoin option prices, rose to 60.33 on December 2, marking a daily increase of 1.11%. This index is a collaborative product of financial index company T3 Index and options trading platform LedgerX.
The BitVol Index provides insights into the market's expectations of future volatility by analyzing the implied volatility embedded in actual option prices. Implied volatility is a critical metric that reflects the market's forecast of a security's potential price fluctuations. It is calculated using the Black-Scholes option pricing model, which incorporates the actual option price and other parameters, excluding volatility, to deduce the implied volatility.
The actual prices of options are determined through competitive trading among numerous market participants. Therefore, the implied volatility is considered a reflection of the collective outlook and expectations of market participants regarding future market conditions. This makes it a valuable indicator of the market's perception of real-time volatility at any given moment.
