Former U.S. President Donald Trump surprised the world once again by personally stepping into early-stage trade talks with Japan. What was expected to be a low-profile diplomatic discussion turned into a more assertive negotiation as Trump expanded the conversation to include military spending and the cost of U.S. troops stationed in Japan.
🔹 Japan Caught Off Guard, U.S. Pushes Forward
Trump's nearly 50-minute meeting with Japan’s chief negotiator Ryosei Akazawa was followed by broader talks involving U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and other top officials. While Japan had anticipated a focus on trade and investment, Trump introduced the topic of Japan's contribution to U.S. military expenses.
He later posted on social media that the talks were a “major step forward,” though he shared no further details. Japanese officials were surprised by his direct involvement but acknowledged that the U.S. sees trade negotiations with Japan as a priority, with more deals expected with other global partners.
🔹 Ishiba: U.S. Trade Talks Are a Top Priority
Japanese Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba commented respectfully:
“Trade relations with the United States remain a top priority. I will visit the U.S. at the most appropriate time,” he told reporters in Tokyo.
Since Trump implemented broad tariffs in April, more than 75 countries have expressed interest in trade negotiations with the U.S.
🔹 Defense Spending and Auto Tariffs Create Tensions
Trump criticized Japan for its defense budget, reportedly pushing for an increase to $150 billion, which would represent 2% of GDP, beyond the current financial plans through 2027. Tokyo fears the U.S. may demand even more — potentially up to 3% of GDP.
In addition, Japan’s automobile exports are heavily impacted by a 25% tariff, with a baseline 10% duty still in place. Japan has called on Washington to remove these measures entirely and requested that currency exchange rates remain off the negotiating table. The yen weakened slightly after Akazawa clarified that foreign exchange manipulation was not discussed — a move that helped reassure markets.
🔹 Japan’s Strategy: Investment Instead of Confrontation
To ease tensions, Japan is considering major investments in the U.S., including participation in a multi-billion-dollar Alaskan gas project. Tokyo argues that such initiatives could lead to a “win-win” scenario that avoids further threats of retaliatory trade measures.
U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said Japan could be among the “first movers” to benefit from the renewed trade focus, given the international attention on Trump’s tariff system.
🔹 Trump Remains Tough: Focus on Autos and Rice
Trump’s aggressive trade stance hasn’t changed. He recently claimed Japan imposed a 700% tariff on American rice, a statement Tokyo denied.
The auto sector, which accounts for 30% of Japan’s exports to the U.S., remains the most vulnerable to current and proposed tariffs.
🔹 Markets React Positively
The markets responded favorably to the developments:
📈 JPY/USD rose by 0.49% to 142.60
📈 Japan’s Topix Index climbed 1%
📈 Hong Kong’s Hang Seng gained 1.6%
📈 Australia’s ASX 200 added 0.6%
📈 Shanghai Composite edged up 0.2%
📈 S&P 500 Futures increased 0.7%
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