l lost... last 7 days were hectic and lost 1/3 of my ATH value.
l want to share my experience, what l did wrong and what saved me to go down even further⬇️
Lets start with my mistakes:
1-) l did fomo... lost vision of market trend and jumped into market. 2-) l opened 2x long with a big portion of my budget 3-) there was not much left to lower the liq price
How did l manage huge loss?
1-) l was divided my investment with relevant distribution: %35 Long term holding, %30 trade and %35 staking. 2-) When things happened, l did prepared money to lower the liq price, yes l id sell some of my long term holding spots. 3-) l cool downed my mentality. l recognized that l have huge bag in staking which can be ok for potantial upside moves.
Friends, lm not liqed and holding %65 of my ATH. But what l learned is market teaches you how to be humble when you think you are genius ...
Be aware, expect bad things and spare some stable coins for rainy days. Make emergency plans. ..
l made around 9x on #apt from $9 to 13$ with initial investment of $500. My secret is Coin-M futures.
Coin-m futures is a very similar tool to usd-m futures but you earn or lose specific coins instead of #usdt.
My success rate is over %80, and here are my tips:
➡️ Do not exceed 3x leverage : Accept that we are not smart but market is generous .
➡️ Do use "limit order" and bid for -%10 in general: You better wait price to come to you for better deal. Works great in flash crashes.
➡️ Spare some for lower liq. amount: l often work with 1/3 ratio for 3x leverage.
Let me make an example for you:
If Aptos is $13.4, I bid for %12 to $12.8 for my entry 3x. l allocate 33 Aptos for action itself and spare 66 Aptos for minimizing liq price. ln this case, your liq price will be 0 or very close to 0 which is fantastic!
By time you will master the coin price and the technique and can play with higher risks. l currently allocate more on bid rather than lovering he liq price because l almost mastered the Aptos's price moves.
What is better?
Well, there are many coins you can do the same like #Bnb #ETH and many alts.
lf you liked this, please consider giving a like. lf you ant more tips to make more on bull market, follow me ♥️
Are you still losing and underperforming? Let me share what I do to avoid my greedy and stupid decisions:
1. Allocate %30-%40 for stablecoins: Only stupids believe they enter the market in the right time and at right project. Allocate some for rainy days.
2. Invest in new narratives & new projects: Old narratives are gone like old tokens. They are sold already only %2-5 will see their old ATH. Instead invest in new narratives and new tokens.
3. Buy more when market see -%15 or -%20: I can assure you that, having some cash makes you feel great while everyone is broken and tons of great opportunities.
4. Sell %15-25 when seeing unexpected up move: have you ever felt like a genius when your token went up %50? And you not took profit, right? That's why you are here and reading my post. Only stupids do not take profit. Whales do...
5. Use stop lose for futures: Do I even have to explain that? A must, period.
Now you are ahead of %99 of total investors in the market... Don't be folish, don't be arrogant. Be humble, be rational 👍
Top 20 coin list will change in a year. Are you ready? Let's talk👇
Bull runs and bear runs lead by narratives. Narratives created by real life changes and psychology of people/investors. Before going forward, let's see what is the top 20: BTC, ETH, BNB, SOL, XRP, ADA, AVAX, DOGE, LINK, MATIC, ATOM, LUNA, DOT, TRX, BCH, FIL, LTC, NEAR, THETA, XMR
1. Market Sentiment and Hype:
1.1. Emerging Technologies: Bull runs often attract wider interest, bringing new investors and capital to the space.
1.2.Speculation: Bullish sentiment can lead to "fear of missing out" (FOMO), driving speculative investments into hyped projects, regardless of their long-term fundamentals.
1.3. Sector Rotations: As market sentiment shifts within the crypto space, different types of projects might gain favor. For example, a bull run focused on DeFi (decentralized finance) projects might see them rise in the rankings, while others like privacy coins might fall behind.
2. Fundamental factors:
2.1. Utility and Adoption: Ultimately, the strongest cryptos in the long run tend to be those with real-world utility and growing adoption.
2.2. Team and Technology: Strong teams with proven track records and innovative technologies can attract investment and developer interest, leading to long-term market cap growth.
2.3. Tokenomics and Supply: The tokenomics of a project (token distribution, inflation/deflation mechanisms) can influence its market cap dynamics.
Which coins will be in top 20 and which will be out?
$PENDLE has been going up only for some time. Let's see what #PENDLE does and find out if it is a good enough to be in our portfolio : ------------------ Bottom Line: Pendle is a relatively new project, and its long-term viability is still unproven. Overall, Pendle offers a unique and innovative approach to managing your crypto holdings and future yield and has a great potential in this bull run with 470million USD Market Cap. ------------------ 1. Unique Advantages: Tokenizing Future Yield: Pendle allows you to separate the principal amount of your asset from the future interest it earns into distinct tokens. This unlocks new strategies unavailable elsewhere, like: 1.1. Trading future interest: Speculate on future interest rates by directly buying or selling yield tokens. 1.2. Locking in fixed yields: Get predictable income by separating your yield from the price fluctuations of the underlying asset. 1.3. Unlocking liquidity without selling: Access the value of your yield-bearing asset without actually selling it, ideal for long-term holdings.
2. Custom AMM for Yield Trading: Pendle's Automated Market Maker (AMM) is specifically designed for trading assets with time decay, like yield tokens. This offers:
2.1. Reduced slippage: Improved trade efficiency for users and better returns for liquidity providers. 2.2. Dual fee structure: Rewards providers for both trade volume and how long they lock their liquidity. 2.3. Minimal impermanent loss: Minimizes risks associated with providing liquidity for volatile assets.
3. Focus on Risk Management: Pendle incorporates features to manage risks associated with yield tokenization: 3.1. Price floors: Set minimum prices for your yield tokens to protect against sudden drops. 3.2. Composable options: Integrate Pendle with other DeFi protocols for more advanced risk management strategies.
First of all let's state what has been done ill now, and what we expect to happen.
Things done:
- ETF #BTC was approved by SEC 📈 - Google has allowed cryptocurrency ads📈 - Questions answered related to collapsed platforms (FT*) and users will get their money 📈
Things we expect:
- Despite of the sell pressure of Grey Scale, we are still over 42k-43k. 📈 -$BTC halving is around 90 days away 📈 - Institutional buy pressure on BTC 📈 - $ETH ETF approval 📈📈📈
What l believe is: 1. We will see more sideways for a few weeks and l expect to see 48k before halving.
2. Then might see slow pullback and sideways 3-4 months after having.
3. l expect deep (-%20ish) pullback and go up till mid of 2025.
Note: in each bull run, it is normal to see -%20ish pullback for 1 or 2 weeks. That is super normal.
My suggestion is for you to pick our brand new coins on good narratives and place buy order -%10 from the current price and chill;)
I'm quite new to #Binance Square. Your likes and comments mean lot to me. Please let know hat you think in comment section ⬇️
Bull runs lead by narratives. Narratives eat candles for breakfast...
For this bull run I partifularly focus on narratives and came up with : AI, RWA, Gami-fi and infrastructure. Let's see what happened in previous bull runs 👇👇
2013 - Digital Gold: Bitcoin gained traction as a potential alternative to traditional gold, attracting investors seeking a hedge against inflation and financial instability. Its limited supply and decentralized nature resonated with those wary of central banks and fiat currencies.
2017 - ICO Mania: The Initial Coin Offering (ICO) boom saw a surge in funding for new blockchain projects, creating excitement and speculation around the potential of blockchain technology and its applications. Many altcoins experienced significant price increases alongside Bitcoin.
2021 - Institutional Adoption: Major corporations and financial institutions began exploring Bitcoin and blockchain technology, leading to increased investment and mainstream recognition.
I'm quite new on Binance Square and sharing my knowledge with you to make this bull run as bullish as possible. So, your likes and follows mean a lot to me😀
if you hold any coin from previous bullruns you will probably will underperform... Let me explain why:
First of all, each bull run it's own narratives and over performing projects very often overperforms.
I highly believe that AI, RWA, Gami-fi, Infrastructure projects to lead this bull run. BUT WAIT...
There are a lot of AI, RWA and Game-fi projects that released in previous bull runs...So how to identify?
-Firstly you should check when this project released its coin and make sure it is after 01.2023. In some cases you can extent to 01.2022 but not before!!!
Because tokens that released before already saw their prime time, and many things already been achieved there. So what will they achieve now? You can be sure many of those are proud of past and doing nothing for the future.
My favourite projects are: $AI, $XAI, $PYTH.
Please let me know if you like to know more about these projects and reasoning behind why I invest on those.
Let me explain why I'm super bullish on AI projects except $WLD ...
I made a heavy bag for WLD months ago when the owner launched successfully well known AI product that we saw on the media. (I can not mention the name here) But later things did not go well and I sold them. (currently investing 1 USD per day for WLD everyday via DCA)
Privacy concerns is a big problem for Worldcoin's data collection which leading to legal investigations in some countries like Kenya, India and many others. This negative publicity could be impacting investor confidence.
I still think it is a great project but current legal environment may limit the project to reach its full potential.
Please let me know in comments, if you agree or disagree with reasons. I like to know your opinions :)
$PYTH vs $LINK for next bull run... Let's talk about it
----------------------------
Bottom line: I personally believe investing on Pyth may bring more cash than investing on Chainlink since Pyth is newer and low Market Cap project.
----------------------------
Pyth focuses on high-fidelity, high-frequency financial market data for DeFi protocols. Covers assets like crypto, forex, equities, and precious metals. Chainlink offers broader access to real-world data and off-chain computation beyond finance, including gaming, sports betting, and weather APIs.
On Pyth, data publishers (exchanges, market makers) run nodes and directly contribute data, potentially increasing accuracy and reducing manipulation risk, while on Chainlink independent node operators source data from various providers, aggregating it before passing to smart contracts.
Pyth updates data every sub-second, offering real-time insights, while Chainlink updates data every few seconds to minutes, depending on the specific feed.
Note: These are my personal thoughts and never ever an advice since I'm very much interested in all infrastructure projects. So please do your own research before taking any action.
Let me share tips how to find projects that 2x-10x your portfolio in 2024-2025 bull run!
1. First thing first, do not take any advice on coins from influencers or even from me. You are by your own, embrace it. If you can not do it now, stop reading rest of my post because it is not for you. What you can do instead is to learning from their experiences.
2. Find out narratives! Each bull cycle has it's own narratives. It is 2024, and I believe following narratives will be hot:
- AI: Last year was full of AI. We learnt how to automate things in our lives and work. Now AI meets with crypto world.
-Infrastructure: I personally believe, crypto world gets credibility over years, and projects that help other projects to execute faster, safer and affordable will go up. Interestingly I made most of my money by investing these type of projects. Please let me know if you want another post on this specific topic.
- Defi & RWA: This narrative is tied to regulations. I personally believe Defi will be main ground where all these things happens in the future. RWA has on another hand great potential to collaborate with real world companies which influence the price always positive.
- Gami-fi: Gaming is a big industry and I believe soon many will see games that you can earn points/tokens. For computer games, that may take time so I believe games developed for mobile phones will adopt it faster. But regulation may play role here, to consider.
- Gamble-fi: Only narrative that I will not take part of but many people gamble daily and I believe such platforms will be quite popular. If you are one of those, search for projects that has value proposition.
It is my 3rd post, and please let me know if you want me to focus on specific areas in comments. Your likes motivate me to search and share more:)
You want to start, but don't know where and how to?
1. Find out narratives:
Last year we met with Al tools that help us at office chores. l believe this will affect the coin world. I always look for Al projects that have good fundementals.
Or DeFI and RWA might be very interesting since DEXs are getting better and better
2. Consider the date of coin release
Old coins are out fashioned. #Sol is outperforng but it is the only one. while making a portfolio , consider new projects that released after 2023 Jan.
3. Check out social media and telegram channels
lt is great ay to see if a project a scam or bot is to give a look profiles that who comments on sharing. Don't let the number fool you, be sure people are real.
And trust your gut;) l will be sharing my bull un narratives soon. Follow me for more📈📈📈
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