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Forecast:
After an active purchase of the $USUAL token, a significant price drop to $0.80 is expected after January 7, 2025. The primary reasons for this decline are high token supply on the market and a decrease in demand after the speculative wave subsides.
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Justification of the Forecast:
1. Speculative nature of the growth before January 7, 2025:
Most buyers during this period are driven by expectations of an event perceived as significant for the project (e.g., news announcements, partnerships, or exchange listing). Typically, after the event concludes, speculative interest diminishes, leading to decreased demand.
2. Sell pressure from the project team:
The declared daily sales of 2.7 million tokens by the project team create constant pressure on the market. This increases supply and reduces the likelihood of stable price growth. If demand does not exceed this supply, a price drop is inevitable.
3. Limited organic demand:
During the active purchase phase leading up to January 7, the main buyers are speculators rather than long-term investors. Once the price starts to decline, speculators begin selling their assets, amplifying the downward trend.
4. Psychological pressure:
Key support levels, such as $1.00, carry significant psychological weight for market participants. If these levels are breached, many traders will activate stop-loss orders, accelerating the price drop.
5. Overemphasis on short-term project goals:
If the project team focuses solely on raising capital through token sales without demonstrating a long-term development strategy, it can undermine investor confidence.
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Predicted Dynamics:
Until January 7, 2025: Active price growth driven by speculative demand.
After January 7, 2025: Massive capital outflow due to decreased interest in the token and sell pressure from the team.
This will likely result in the price dropping to $0.80 or lower unless the team changes its sales policy or generates consistent interest in the token by providing real value to its holders.
Recommendation: Investors should exercise caution, evaluate the long-term potential of the USUAL token, and consider the high risk of capital loss after January 7, 2025.
$USUAL