Cardano (ADA) is experiencing a steep rally, with its price surging an impressive 300% over the past five weeks. The altcoin recently surpassed the $1 mark, reaching its highest level in nearly two years. However, this surge has not only sparked optimism among investors but also triggered significant profit-taking.
Small Investors Focus on Selling
In recent weeks, small ADA holders have been actively selling their holdings. Wallets containing between 100 and 10,000 ADA have offloaded over 72 million ADA, valued at more than $92 million. This trend has persisted for over a month, highlighting a shift toward profit-taking among smaller investors.
While these sales are putting some pressure on the market, they remain less significant compared to large-scale transactions made by so-called "whales." The market has yet to see a dramatic price decline, but the ongoing selling activity could indicate caution among investors, who prefer to lock in profits rather than risk potential market volatility.
Divergence as a Potential Risk
The macro momentum for Cardano reveals a more complex picture. The Price DAA Divergence indicator shows that while ADA’s price is rising, market activity isn’t increasing at the same pace. This disconnect is often seen as a bearish signal, suggesting that the rally may be driven more by speculative buying than organic investor interest.
The lack of participation from larger market players raises concerns about the sustainability of the current rally. If this trend continues, ADA’s price could face a correction, potentially undermining its current momentum.
Where is ADA Heading?
This week, ADA’s price increased by 25%, reaching $1.29, its highest level in almost two years. This rise reflects growing optimism among investors, but it also approaches critical resistance levels.
The key challenge lies in surpassing the $1.30 threshold. If Cardano manages to break through and turn this level into support, the rally could continue toward $1.50. Conversely, failure to hold above this barrier could result in a decline to the support level of $1.01, erasing recent gains and jeopardizing the bullish momentum.
Summary and Outlook
Cardano’s future depends on maintaining the psychological level of $1.30. Success at this level could confirm continued growth and strengthen investor confidence. However, failure to hold could signal the end of the current rally and a return to lower price levels. In the coming weeks, investors will closely monitor these critical thresholds.
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