$TROY

1. Signs indicating this is a dump:

a) Capital flows:

- 5-day large capital inflow consistently negative (-557.57M)

- Current capital outflow (-146.23M)

- Large orders heavily selling (199.03M vs 91.56M)

b) Technical indicators:

- RSI dropping sharply from 82 to 65

- DIF and DEA remain negative

- Volume gradually decreasing

2. Signs suggesting this might just be a correction:

a) Technical aspects:

- Price decrease not too severe (-2.99%)

- Short-term uptrend not yet broken

- MACD still slightly positive

3. Assessment:

a) 70% likelihood of continued dumping because:

- Sell orders dominating across all sizes

- Large capital still withdrawing

- Decreasing volume with falling price

- Bearish candlestick patterns

b) Potential price targets:

- Target 1: 0.00500 (70% probability)

- Target 2: 0.00480 (50% probability)

- Target 3: 0.00460 (30% probability)

4. Recommendations:

a) If currently holding:

- Cut losses immediately, don't wait

- Don't average down

- Don't hold overnight

b) If looking to short:

- Short at current price levels

- Stop loss: 0.00550

- Targets as mentioned above

- Split orders into smaller portions

5. Important notes:

- Market is highly sensitive

- Might see slight bounce before further dumping

- Set stop losses in advance

- Avoid high leverage

Conclusion: High probability of continued dumping in next 24 hours. Priority should be capital preservation, and consider shorting with strict risk management.