Bitcoin Volatility Hits Record Low: Is a 500% Surge Coming?

Bitcoin is back above $70,000 after weeks of sideways trading. This period of low volatility may be setting the stage for one of Bitcoin's biggest rallies yet.

Volatility in financial markets measures how quickly and unpredictably prices move. For Bitcoin, the historical volatility metric shows that on a 2-week timeframe, the cryptocurrency is experiencing its lowest volatility ever. Notably, similar periods of low volatility in Bitcoin's past preceded massive rallies—over 9,000% in one instance and over 2,000% in another, propelling Bitcoin from $1,000 to nearly $20,000 in 2017.

Volatility is cyclical, often leading to explosive price action after periods of calm. While it's impossible to predict the exact direction of the next move, the historical pattern suggests a significant upward trend. Bitcoin may not replicate its previous 9,000% or 2,000% rallies, but a surge of 200% to 500% is possible.

A 200% increase could push Bitcoin to $140,000, while a 500% jump could see it reaching $350,000. Although higher returns are less probable due to diminishing returns, these potential gains still represent substantial growth from current levels.
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