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Bitcoin halving completed 🥳 Remember, that halving itself doesn't have instant effect on price. It accumulates within several months after the event. Expect cycle top in Q4 2025
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#Bitcoin accomplished the first two parts of the move I forecasted on Saturday. Now its time to wick below lower trendline into the last support. What will happen after it yet unpredictable. Week/month timeframe #BTC is still within uptrend, so higher TF bias is bias. Day timeframe in downtrend asking for dips under 59k. Nearest liquidity pools: above - 62686 / 62938 / 63894 / 64196 below - 61318 / 60726 / 59445 / 58087 SR levels to watch $BTC PA: 🔸73881 - ATH 🔸71363 - March close 🔸69362 - week close 🔸66555 - range middle 🔸65615 - week close 🔸64300 - February high 🔸63088 - week close 🔸61203 - Feb'24 close 🔸59112 - March low Trend: D 🔻 W 🔼 M 🔼 🤑 F&G: 67 < 65 < 67 < 70 < 72
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#Bitcoin lost ~63500 SR and dropped lower on Saturday open. Friday close at 63749 will attract price for revisit on Monday, regardless where #BTC will be by that moment - above or below. In general I feel that drop lower is inevitable, although before that $BTC can bounce back. After that nearest and the last zone of support is within April 19th buy tail and approximate range bottom. But as I wrote before, that bottom was tested to many times for me to take it as a level for blind longs. First have to see bulls taking control over PA. Otherwise too dangerous to catch knifes there. Nearest liquidity pools: above - 64521 / 65555 / 66770 / 67430 below - 62222 / 61320 / 60726 / 59450 SR levels to watch PA: 🔸73881 - ATH 🔸71363 - March close 🔸69362 - week close 🔸66555 - range middle 🔸65615 - week close 🔸64300 - February high 🔸63178 - week close 🔸61203 - Feb'24 close 🔸59112 - March low Trend: D ▶️ W 🔼 M 🔼 🤑 F&G: 67 < 70 < 72 < 72 < 71
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#Bitcoin touched both nearest zones I've marked in yesterday's review ✅ NDX also bounced as expected. Dips gave nice volume, higher wick didn't. That is bullish sign saying that buys from the dips didn't realize their profits yet and waiting for higher values. Therefore wicks to ~66k are still possible and have high chances to happen. And that scenario assumes a chance for breakout above range middle. Small chances, but nevertheless. But that doesn't deny chances for another dip. Nearest liquidity pools: above - 65555 / 66770 / 67430 / 71666 below - 62600 / 61320 / 60726 / 59450 SR levels to watch PA: 🔸73881 - ATH 🔸71363 - March close 🔸69362 - week close 🔸66555 - range middle 🔸65615 - week close 🔸64300 - February high 🔸63178 - week close 🔸61203 - Feb'24 close 🔸59112 - March low Trend: D ▶️ W 🔼 M 🔼 🤑 F&G: 70 < 72 < 72 < 71 < 73
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As forecasted, #Bitcoin first move was down ✅ All liquidity pools I've marked in yesterday review wiped out in one strong bearish day candle. Unfortunately for bulls, rejection from range middle most probably leads to return back to the bottom. And since price already been there multiple times (at least five) I wouldn't bet on another bounce, if it really gets there. Nevertheless, before the bottom will be touched we may expect $BTC to bounce back to 65250-65900. Same as NDX. And that bounce will be decisive. If it won't pump higher and get stuck there, that will confirm the bearishness of this chart, and all left to say will be "Sell in May, go away". Nearest liquidity pools: above - 65540 / 66770 / 67407 / 71600 (maximum liquidity) below - 63450 / 62642 / 61322 / 59563 SR levels to watch PA: 🔸73881 - ATH 🔸71363 - March close 🔸69362 - week close 🔸66555 - range middle 🔸64300 - February high 🔸63178 - week close 🔸61203 - Feb'24 close 🔸59112 - March low #BTC Trend: D ▶️ W 🔼 M 🔼 🤑 F&G: 72 < 72 < 71 < 73 < 66
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$WIF fully covered Daily fair value gap on that move and remain bullish to grow higher, unless next dip take price below main support zone around ~3.1 Drawn setup for 2.28 RR or 31% profit. Since within same bullish scenario #WIF dips to ~2.92 also possible it make sense to plan DCA there as well.
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