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Este @chatGPT Pro atât de mult mai bun decât Deep Research de la @GeminiApp? 
Cineva să mă proselitizeze, te rog.

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Timing the 4-Year Cycle I’ll cover: 1. Challenges 2. SBR 3. Key Events 4. Odds 5. Takeaways 1. Challenges What makes timing cycle-tops tricky is that new variables are introduced each cycle which did not exist in prior cycles: - 2021 saw the rise of unsustainable debt obfuscated by political and media lobbying. - 2018 saw regulatory crackdowns on ICOs. - 2014 saw the collapse of Mt. Gox. 2. SBR In this cycle, one such variable is the Strategic Bitcoin Reserve (SBR). ie. if America starts buying Bitcoin, other countries would likely follow suit. In fact, Russia, Germany, and Hong Kong (China) are already reportedly having these discussions. This shift could override any mid- or late-cycle patterns and possibly extend Bitcoin’s growth phase, much like gold’s. See the chart below. 3. Key Events The events of the last week have increased the likelihood of an SBR: - Trump launched a $90B memecoin. - His sons bought tens of millions of dollars of Bitcoin and altcoins through World Liberty Financial on inauguration day. - Saylor met with the entire Trump cabinet just days ago. - Senator Lummis tweeted about a BSR discussion with Eric Trump today. 4. Odds The market still believes the likelihood of the SBR in 2025 is low. GCR said it's 5 years away, and Polymarket places the odds at 32%. 5. Takeaways I still think 30% odds are pretty generous, and we probably won't see it in 2025. Nonetheless, this is the key chart that the entire market cycle top depends on right now. In my next piece, I’ll cover what the macro markets and Bitcoin mining stats tell us about where we are in this cycle. If you enjoyed this, please follow and RT so I know to keep writing content like this.

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It's like someone asked @xai to come up with 4 unrelated bullish headlines. 1. The SEC has launched a crypto task force led by Commissioner Peirce to establish a clear regulatory framework and investigate chokepoint 2.0. 2. MicroStrategy purchased an additional 11k BTC for $1.1 billion, bringing their total holdings to 461k BTC acquired at an avg price of $63.61k per bitcoin. 3. Ross Ulbricht has been granted a full and unconditional pardon by former President Donald Trump, making him a free man. 4. $TRUMP, $DOGE, $BONK ETFs filed with the SEC. The simulation must be real. The truth is stranger than fiction.

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i don't believe bitcoin tops until it flips gold, and will likely be long bitcoin for the rest of my life, at varying levels of allocation (max was post FTX) long USD is also a risky trade

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Past Halving cycles suggest the next bear market floor might not be set yet. Either way, 2025 looks promising for the industry.

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GCR says we're getting ahead of ourselves. "Tax payer money to make crypto billionaires even richer is just so far from the overton window, it should've even be taken seriously."

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