Will Bitcoin Take Off? 4 Signs Indicating a Trend Reversal, How to Seize Investment Opportunities from Short-term Capital 了解更多资讯 $BTC
1. Signs of Tariff Easing The short-term emotional impact and safe-haven trading brought about by Trump's tariff policy have eased, and market volatility is currently decreasing. On Tuesday, April 22, local time, Trump delivered a speech in public, acknowledging that the tariffs on goods imported from China are currently too high, and that the tax rate is expected to be significantly reduced. This symbolizes a softening of Trump's stance on his signature tariff policy.
2. Expectations of Interest Rate Easing Currently, CME interest rate futures imply that interest rates will start to decrease in June, with a total of three rate cuts expected within the year. This could inject new liquidity into the market.
3. Gradual Implementation of Crypto-Friendly Policies Since Trump took office, the crypto market has become a key industry for development, aiming to create a new “dollar hegemony” system:
On March 6, 2025, Trump signed an executive order to officially establish the “Strategic Bitcoin Reserve” and the “U.S. Digital Asset Reserve.” This plan is currently underway, and at the same time, dozens of states in the U.S. are advancing Bitcoin state reserve legislation. In Arizona, if the final third reading is passed, it will be submitted for the governor's signature. Currently, the U.S. is advancing two stablecoin bills, namely the “GENIUS Act” and the “STABLE Act.” Both proposals have been approved in their respective committees. The industry generally expects that the final bill may be passed and implemented in the second half of 2025, depending on the coordination speed of both houses and the president's attitude. On April 22, Trump's nominee Paul Atkins officially succeeded Gary Gensler as SEC Chairman. Atkins is seen as a friendly regulator for the crypto industry and is expected to reduce enforcement actions against crypto enterprises and promote industry innovation. 4. Bitcoin Shifts from Bearish to Bullish Since mid-March, Bitcoin has overall outperformed the U.S. stock market, reflecting some safe-haven attributes similar to gold. Around April 8, both the RSI and MACD for Bitcoin showed signs of a bottom divergence, combined with sentiment indicators reaching extremely fearful positions, forming a recent bottom. As of now, both the MACD fast line and slow line have reached above the zero axis, indicating a shift in market trend from bearish to bullish.