First halving, Bitcoin entered a bull market from 2012 to 2013 Second halving, Bitcoin welcomed a bull market from 2016 to 2017 Third halving, Bitcoin continued a bull market from 2020 to 2021 Fourth halving, Bitcoin will continue a bull market from 2024 to 2025
Current Market Cap: 7.813 Billion, Market Circulation: 60%, Ranking: 24
UNI is about to welcome a big benefit, the official website has announced that it will launch its own Layer 2 mainnet at the beginning of next year, which means that UNI will have faster transaction speeds, lower fees, and higher throughput. UNI will surely rise along with the tide, so it’s worth paying attention to!
Current Market Cap: 7.813 Billion, Market Circulation: 60%, Ranking: 24
UNI is about to welcome a big benefit, the official website has announced that it will launch its own Layer 2 mainnet at the beginning of next year, which means that UNI will have faster transaction speeds, lower fees, and higher throughput. UNI will surely rise along with the tide, so it’s worth paying attention to!
My view is simple: escaping the peak is fine, and pointing out risks is okay, but it must be within the framework of trading logic.
Escaping the peak on the left side means looking at Fibonacci extensions or retracements to some key positions. Escaping the peak on the right side means observing if moving averages have broken down and if a bearish structure has formed. On the order book side, one must pay attention to the gap between buy and sell orders, as well as the orders from major players. Then there are technical indicators, such as open interest, fees, premiums, etc.
If a person with strong trading experience gives you a risk warning with solid reasoning, I think it's worth listening; but if it's just a pure analyst pointing out risks, I personally think it can only be referenced and should not be taken too seriously.
FLOKI dispara 22% em uma semana - o super ciclo dos memecoins está chegando?
Parece que o FLOKI tem uma grande quantidade de detentores atualmente em déficit. Todos estão de olho nas baleias, observando se elas ajudarão a impulsionar os preços. A última semana foi um ponto de inflexão para a comunidade de memecoins, que tem lutado para atrair investidores devido à recente preferência por ativos mais estáveis e com menor volatilidade. O FLOKI, em particular, se tornou um exemplo típico dessa mudança. Em apenas sete dias, o FLOKI viu um impressionante crescimento de 22%, mostrando sinais de recuperação, sua recuperação está alinhada com a mudança mais ampla no mercado de memecoins. Então, à medida que os brotos verdes do crescimento começam a aparecer, isso marca o início de um grande rebote para o FLOKI?
My view is simple: it's possible to escape the top, and it's fine to warn about risks, but the premise is that it should be within the logical framework of trading.
Escaping the top on the left side means looking at Fibonacci extensions or retracing to some key positions. Escaping the top on the right side means watching for moving averages breaking down and the formation of bearish structures. In terms of the order book, attention should be paid to the gap between buy and sell orders, as well as the orders placed by major players. Then there are technical indicators, such as open interest, fees, premiums, and so on.
If someone with strong trading experience warns you about risks and has solid reasoning, I think it's worth listening; but if it's just a pure analyst warning about risks, I personally think it can only be taken as a reference and shouldn't be taken too seriously.
Análise das lógicas chave do grande mercado de alta das criptomoedas: 1. Poucas pessoas ganham muito dinheiro: Aqueles que realmente conseguem lucrar significativamente durante um mercado em alta geralmente são apenas alguns sortudos. 2. A maioria das pessoas perde dinheiro: A maioria das pessoas tende a ser pega em armadilhas ao perseguir preços altos, acabando por incorrer em perdas. 3. No início, ninguém se importa: As grandes criptomoedas geralmente não recebem atenção antes de sua explosão, parecendo bastante desinteressantes. 4. Somente após um grande aumento é que se recebe atenção: Quando todos começam a discutir, a melhor oportunidade de entrada geralmente já foi perdida. 5. Concentração de ativos: No início da alta dos preços, pelo menos 90% dos ativos estão nas mãos de poucas pessoas, resultando em um efeito de concentração de ativos. 6. O que parece promissor nem sempre explode: Embora a maioria das pessoas tenha uma visão otimista sobre certas criptomoedas, isso não significa que elas se tornem realmente grandes moedas. 7. Criptomoedas menos conhecidas têm mais potencial: Aqueles ativos menos mencionados geralmente têm mais chances de se tornarem a próxima grande moeda. 8. Impulso humano: A alta das grandes criptomoedas geralmente é impulsionada por grandes investidores iniciais, que depois realizam lucros em níveis elevados. Quer aproveitar a próxima oportunidade? Lembre-se dessas lógicas, mantenha a calma, e você poderá ter a chance de estar no auge da onda.
O maior desafio ao lidar com uma altcoin como o UXLINK, que pode dobrar em questão de horas, é na verdade a psicologia da negociação.
Quando o preço disparar, sua meta original de realização de lucros será interrompida e você estará pensando: “Se esperar um pouco mais, pode até subir”.
Então, quando o preço começa a cair, você pensa “espere até que ele volte à máxima anterior antes de vender”, mas o resultado muitas vezes é que o preço cai totalmente.
Na verdade, a forma de lidar com esta situação é muito simples:
Takeprofit à esquerda: Tome a iniciativa de reduzir posições em lotes para garantir que a posição seja controlada entre 1% e 3%.
Obtenha lucro à direita: use a média móvel EMA20 como suporte e saia decisivamente quando o preço cair abaixo.
No longo prazo, seguir rigorosamente um plano de negociação é mais confiável do que ser influenciado pelas emoções.
One of the characteristics of a big bull market is the frequent sharp declines, but the overall trend is upward. This bull market, compared to 2017, has been quite good. It has been more about consolidation or narrow fluctuations, such as the previous six months of consolidation before finally breaking through 74,000 and setting a new historical high. Give Bitcoin some time, let the bullets fly for a while, and after the adjustment, Bitcoin will definitely break through 108,000 and set a new milestone.
It’s Saturday again, and the market trend is gradually slowing down. After a rebound to 975 yesterday, the price faced resistance, leading to a pullback of nearly 4,000 points. Yesterday was also a bearish sentiment throughout, and after a night of consolidation, the market still couldn't provide an effective reversal of the 4,000-point space. Overall, the trend is relatively weak, and the strategy continues to maintain a high-concentration approach. Looking at the daily chart, the price has descended to the lower support area, where it has temporarily halted. While there has been a short-term rebound, its strength is relatively weak. From a long-term perspective, the bearish trend still has momentum, but there is a need for correction in the short term. Therefore, it is not advisable to aggressively pursue short positions right now to avoid hitting the floor. After all, we are currently at a 4-hour level, and a rebound action can be expected in the short term. Short positions can be arranged after the correction. A decline is anticipated to be observed on Sunday.
ARB para US$ 1,5 novamente – as baleias podem ter uma palavra a dizer
Até o momento, o ARB parece estar sendo negociado dentro de um padrão cup-and-handle – um sinal de alta que normalmente sinaliza um movimento acentuado de alta A recuperação depende da entrada do ARB numa zona de grande procura, e as baleias podem desempenhar um papel na condução deste movimento O ARB tem lutado para manter seu impulso de alta recentemente e o altcoin começou a cair nas paradas. Na verdade, no mês passado, a altcoin caiu 14,28% nas paradas – uma tendência que continuou na última semana e nas últimas 24 horas. Embora o ARB possa cair ainda mais no curto prazo, poderá em breve recuperar e retomar a sua tendência de alta, levando a um maior potencial de retorno.
Since the retest of the psychological support level of $2 on December 20, XRP has been hovering between $2.4 and $2.13 over the past week. Is it preparing to rebound again? Can it break through to a new high? Those holding XRP must read the entire article.
From the HTF structure, XRP is still bullish, but if the price cannot recover to $2.3, it is likely to continue to decline. Currently, XRP has not yet exited the risk zone.
With BTC’s pullback and the market weakening, XRP’s open interest has decreased by 54% in three weeks.
Although XRP has attracted attention in the spot market, its futures market presents a different picture. According to CoinGlass data, its open interest dropped from $4.23 billion on December 3 to $1.95 billion on December 26, a decline of 54%. Such a significant drop during the holiday period indicates that liquidity in the XRP futures market is decreasing, which could be a double-edged sword. With crypto assets at critical levels, prices may be more unstable than expected.
From a technical perspective, the formation of a symmetrical triangle reinforces the above argument. As observed on the 1-day chart, once volatility begins, XRP’s price is likely to either break out or collapse, with liquidity levels observed on both sides (upward and downward). The symmetrical triangle presents an equal probability of bullish or bearish outcomes.
Therefore, consistent with previous analyses, if there is a quick rebound above $2.30, it may trigger volatility towards the pattern high of $2.95. However, if support is not maintained, it could lead to a new volatility low of $1.85, which had previously occurred on December 1.
Currently, we are still in the low liquidity period of the Christmas and New Year holidays. Although the U.S. stock market opened a bit livelier last night, today is the last trading day of the week, coinciding with a large number of options expiration.
Returning to the big picture, the low turnover rate has basically no pressure on the support level. From the current data, the 95K support level is still relatively strong, and there are no obvious signs of damage in the short term.
Shiba Inu Coin (SHIB): Internal Struggles Continue, Yet It Becomes a Market Favorite Shiba Inu Coin (SHIB) has encountered numerous troubles recently, deeply embroiled in internal conflicts, yet its popularity in the market has surged, making it a 'hot cake' in the eyes of investors.
After a substantial price retracement, Shiba Inu is trapped within a one-week ascending triangle pattern. If it can break through the resistance zone, a conservative target of $0.000056 is expected for this cycle; however, if it falls below the downward trend line, the bullish setup will collapse, resulting in a potentially larger drop.
It also faces a situation where both price and trading volume are declining, attracting significant market attention. Nevertheless, the corrected ascending triangle is often viewed as a bullish signal, and a breakthrough of the resistance line would provide upward momentum. From the trend, the lower yellow line's low point is moving up, indicating strengthening buying power at high price levels; the upper yellow line is flat, suggesting significant selling pressure that hinders the breakout.
If the resistance is broken, the target price of $0.000056 is justifiable. Currently, while trapped, changes in trading volume and momentum are crucial breakout signals.
At the same time, there are new developments in the SHIB ecosystem. Shibburn accuses the executives of manipulating strategies for personal NFT project promotion, with continuous rumors of insider trading, yet the executives have not responded. Recently, the SHIB Metaverse project has shown signs of activity, being a key part of L2 Shibarium, with technological empowerment aimed at creating an innovative platform. I believe that SHIB's development should still align with Ryoshi's original vision.
According to the current market's correction range and trend, compared to historical trends, we have set relatively loose conditions with the aim of gathering more data for reference.
By comparing with eight key historical time points, we found that one time point rapidly fell into a bear market within a month, while another only entered the bear market after more than a month. The remaining six time points continued to maintain an upward trend for at least a month, with the strongest upward trend lasting even five months.
If we adjust the conditions to be stricter, the current trend is quite similar to the situation from December 2020 to January 2021. Therefore, I still believe that the bull market is likely to continue.
Of course, the market still requires continuous observation. If the trends in January and February do not meet expectations, I will adjust my positions, reducing my holdings to half a position in BTC and preparing to respond to potential corrections. As for the market in 2025, according to my expectations, there is no need to liquidate positions before the entire first half of the year.
É claro que, na perspectiva de quatro horas, o nível de suporte chave não caiu abaixo de Hangqing ainda está oscilando dentro do intervalo, mas ainda não tocou a posição chave, por isso não há necessidade de entrar em pânico excessivo.
A Black Friday de hoje centra-se nesta posição-chave, uma janela de oportunidade para apostar em múltiplas ordens. Se você sempre espera que a tendência aumente significativamente antes de entrar lentamente no mercado, inevitavelmente perderá a excelente vantagem da posição baixa. A atitude sábia é aproveitar o momento, realizar análises e julgamentos com calma e racionalidade, confiar com precisão no nível de apoio para colocar encomendas de forma adequada e ocupar antecipadamente uma posição favorável.