Bitcoin (BTC) The recent trend of Bitcoin has left many excited yet anxious. Currently, we need to focus on the key price level around $98,000. If Bitcoin can effectively break through and hold this level, there may be opportunities for continued upward movement. However, considering the relatively low market liquidity, especially during weekends when trading volume is small, the difficulty of the breakout remains high. If the breakout fails, the market is likely to enter a consolidation phase and could even dip to the support level below—around $94,000. At present, the trend of Bitcoin is still in a relatively sensitive range, and whether it can break through $98,000 will determine the market sentiment in the upcoming period. Overall, although the probability of a breakout is not high, if it happens, the market's reaction will be very strong. Ethereum (ETH) Compared to Bitcoin, Ethereum has experienced a significantly larger decline this time, especially during the liquidation process in the contract market, where many speculative funds have been eliminated, and the overall market sentiment has gradually calmed down. Currently, we need to focus on the price point around $3,600. If Ethereum can break through this price, the subsequent rise will be smoother. In fact, with the clearing of the contract market and the recovery of market sentiment, the cost-effectiveness of ETH's subsequent rise may be higher. From a technical perspective, Ethereum's adjustment has created conditions for future upward movement. In the current market environment, ETH may become a focus for some investors, especially after breaking through $3,600, which may lead to stronger buying pressure, driving the price further up. Solana (SOL) As for Solana, its recent performance has been relatively stable. Although it has smaller volatility compared to BTC and ETH, this is also an advantage for SOL. Yesterday, we caught a rebound in the market, and the overall operation was quite standard. Currently, we are focusing on the support level around $200. While SOL does not exhibit the strong volatility seen in BTC and ETH, it has certain advantages in stability, especially in a volatile market. Projects like SOL, which perform relatively steadily, often attract more capital inflow. The support level at $200 is crucial; if it can hold this point, SOL is still expected to maintain a trend of oscillating upward.
If you really don't know how to set a stop loss, you can follow my judgment method. One is the trend; the other is the support and resistance levels. Then, the best timing to set a stop loss is at the moment you enter the market. At this point, countless people are being liquidated, and they don't have time to set stop losses. Those who are heavily invested find it hard to cut their losses, falling into a dilemma.
Contracts are the most inhuman; you don't think about taking profits when you're making money, but when the losses become unbearable, you'll go for a stop loss. So think carefully before you play whether you can detach yourself mercilessly.
The first round of declines has temporarily come to an end, the market has entered an oversold state in the short term, it is not easy to drop further in the short term, and it certainly won't accelerate its decline. While the bears have won, as the victorious side, we will have team-building activities, and the big players will also celebrate. The speed of the market drop will slow down, allowing the bulls to recover some losses.
After the drop in the early morning, has the market finished falling? The adjustment of BTC is not sufficient in terms of space, the adjustment of ETH is lacking in terms of time, while the altcoins that adjusted first have nearly fallen in terms of levels when measured by the golden ratio.
Seeing that the Trump World Liberty team has an unrealized loss of $2.1 million on their $ETH holdings might make everyone feel a bit better.
ETH is currently the largest holding asset for the World Liberty address, with a total of 15,597 coins, worth $53.46 million; of which 8,827 ETH were actively purchased (approximately $32.47 million), at a cost of $3,678, currently showing an unrealized loss of $2.098 million.
The true nature of trading is actually a profound game against one's own humanity. For most people, trading often means staring at a computer screen, relying on technical analysis, charts, and various strategies to make decisions, as if engaged in a life-and-death struggle with the market. But few realize that the core of trading is not the external market fluctuations but the inner struggle. You are not competing with the market; you are fighting against your own desires, fears, greed, and blind impulses. The market itself has no emotions; it is cold and objective. It does not change because you are happy or frustrated. What truly determines your trading success or failure is your psychological quality. You need to overcome inner greed and not let momentary desires cloud your rationality; you must conquer fear and avoid making impulsive decisions due to losses; you also need to suppress a short-term gain mentality and avoid selling too early during profits, missing out on greater opportunities.
Trump: "We will do great things with cryptocurrency. Powell is unreliable, looking forward to Boss Trump coming to power, which can bring BTC to another height."
Donald Trump and his family's involvement in the cryptocurrency industry has evolved from the early release of NFTs to the current World Liberty Financial (WLFI) project, which focuses on decentralized finance (DeFi) platforms and provides innovative financial solutions. The WLFI project not only reflects its layout of crypto assets through the purchase of tokens like ETH, AAVE, and LINK, but also represents Trump's core direction in promoting the development of cryptocurrencies. To some extent, the project can lead the U.S. government to new ideas for regulating cryptocurrencies, especially with the passage of the '21st Century Financial Innovation and Technology Act,' which can provide legitimacy and transparency for decentralized and functional tokens in the crypto industry.
Several cabinet members nominated by Trump, including David Sacks and Robert F. Kennedy Jr., are staunch supporters of cryptocurrencies. In particular, David Sacks not only holds a significant amount of Bitcoin and Solana but has also invested in several crypto projects through his venture capital firm. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. also purchased Bitcoin during his campaign, clearly expressing his support for cryptocurrencies and even proposing policies to back the dollar with hard assets like Bitcoin. The inclusion of these crypto-friendly figures can not only promote the implementation of U.S. government policies regarding cryptocurrencies but also further accelerate the rapid development of the crypto industry.
[Compilação de dados do Golden October: Visão geral dos destaques da declaração do FOMC do Federal Reserve e da conferência de imprensa de Powell]
O Bitcoin se tornou um consenso depois de ser suprimido por vários países. Trump ainda apoiava moedas virtuais quando assumiu o cargo. Esta queda foi causada pelo humor temporário de Powell e não é uma tendência geral.
[Compilação de dados do Golden October: Visão geral dos destaques da declaração do FOMC do Federal Reserve e da conferência de imprensa de Powell] Declaração do FOMC: 1. Resumo da declaração: A redacção permanece praticamente inalterada A decisão de cortar as taxas de juro em 25 pontos base foi aprovada com uma votação de 11-1. Reduzir o ON-RRP em 30 pontos base. 2. Perspectivas para as taxas de juro: Serão consideradas a “magnitude e o momento” de novos cortes nas taxas de juro. O valor mediano do gráfico de pontos aumentou, indicando que as taxas de juro serão reduzidas duas vezes em cada um dos próximos dois anos, mas alguns responsáveis estão profundamente divididos.
Por que algumas pessoas aconselham evitar negociar contratos ao entrar no mercado de criptomoedas?
No mercado de criptomoedas, fazer contratos (especialmente negociação alavancada) é uma forma de investimento de muito alto risco. O comércio de contratos permite que investidores ampliem o tamanho das transações com um capital inicial menor, mas esse efeito de ampliação também significa que o risco é amplificado. Se não houver uma gestão de risco eficaz, os investidores podem enfrentar grandes perdas, até perder todo o capital investido. Hoje, vou compartilhar dicas práticas e filosofias de negociação, com a esperança de que isso possa fornecer a habilidade necessária para que os novatos no mercado de criptomoedas evitem erros e alcancem a liberdade financeira mais cedo. 1. Entenda os princípios básicos do comércio de contratos
The ten truths you must understand to make money in the cryptocurrency market!
Let me reveal the ten truths of the cryptocurrency market to you. People often say: 'A day in the cryptocurrency market is like ten years in the real world. Ten years of working can lead to nothing, but one year in the cryptocurrency market can make you wealthy!' But is that really the case? Indeed, there are more opportunities to get rich quickly in the cryptocurrency market compared to traditional industries, but the hidden risks are equally immense! Many people follow the trend blindly just because they see friends making money. However, the low entry barrier leads more people to harbor the illusion of 'getting rich overnight,' neglecting the importance of risk and understanding. As a veteran player who has worked hard in the cryptocurrency market for many years, I have summarized the (ten truths of the cryptocurrency market) in hopes of helping everyone understand reality, avoid detours, and participate rationally.
The Potential Impact of the Federal Reserve's Interest Rate Cut on the Cryptocurrency Space
Firstly, the background of the interest rate cut is that the Federal Reserve typically lowers borrowing costs, which means lowering interest rates to stimulate the economy, making bank loans cheaper and increasing liquidity in the market. For the traditional market, this may lead to a rise in the stock market and a decline in bond yields. But what does this mean for the cryptocurrency space? 1. Increased liquidity, the cryptocurrency space may benefit The interest rate cut means there is more money in the market. The returns on bank deposits have decreased, so a lot of capital will look for places to 'speculate' for higher returns. The attractiveness of traditional assets (like bonds and deposits) declines, and many people may turn their money towards more risky but potentially higher-return markets, like cryptocurrencies. Especially assets like Bitcoin, which are seen as 'digital gold,' often benefit in such macro environments.