According to Odaily, the prediction market Polymarket shows the United States' probability of winning the most gold medals at the Paris Olympics has risen to 75%, while China's stands at 39%. The total prize pool has exceeded $10 million. As of now, China leads with 40 gold medals, followed by the United States with 39 gold medals. The Paris Olympics will conclude at 3 AM Beijing time. If the United States wins the final women's basketball game, Polymarket's rules state that in the event of a tie in gold medals, the country with the most overall medals will be declared the winner.