Tonight, everyone's attention is on the major non-farm payroll data about to be released, with a general prediction that the unemployment rate will remain unchanged at 4.2%, while it is expected that the number of new non-farm jobs will reach 160,000. However, if the actual announcement shows the unemployment rate slightly adjusted to 4.3%, and the number of new non-farm jobs remains at the predicted 160,000 or above, such a result would likely be acceptable to the market. However, we also need to keep an eye on the speed of wage growth.

Recently, multiple economic indicators have shown strong demand in the U.S. economy. If the non-farm payroll data is slightly weaker, it may be attributed to Amazon's strike turmoil. But if wage growth shows a significant decline, it would be puzzling—why, when the economy is clearly doing well, is wage growth slowing down? This situation could cause panic in the market, potentially triggering a crisis.

Of course, if all the data only shows a slight decline, then after the data is released, the risk market will likely rebound quickly. Since the beginning of this week, the risk market has been in continuous decline, and many bearish sentiments may have already been largely digested. However, if the data does worsen significantly, it would be unfortunate, as the market would likely continue to head downhill.

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