On the first Monday of 2025, the market is speculating whether MicroStrategy will announce an increase in holdings again tonight.
Last night, MicroStrategy founder Michael Saylor released Bitcoin Tracker-related information for the ninth consecutive week. However, this time is different from before, as he stated: "Some parts of the website are not entirely correct." According to previous patterns, MicroStrategy always increases its Bitcoin holdings the day after related news is released.
Note: MicroStrategy marks a green dot on the corresponding date each time it purchases BTC, while the BTC price trend line is in blue.
Last Monday night, after MicroStrategy announced an increase in holdings, large Binance spot traders sold off, liquidating $68.08 million at market price, causing Bitcoin's price to pull back over 2.4%. Therefore, around 9 PM tonight, lock in the 【Quick News - Twitter】 section on AICoin (aicoin.com) PC or APP, and pay attention to the main market transaction situation in combination with large transaction indicators.
Large transaction indicators: Track the trading situation of large accounts at market prices, buy transactions indicate bullish; sell transactions indicate bearish. Experience it now: https://www.aicoin.com/vip
It is particularly noteworthy that as BTC approaches the $100,000 mark, interest in call options in the options market has reignited, betting that the price of Bitcoin will reach a new high after Trump's inauguration. Data shows that on Saturday, a trader on Deribit spent over $6 million to purchase call options with a strike price of $100,000 that expire on March 28. Amberdata stated on X: "This transaction is expected to occur just a few months after Trump officially takes office, with Bitcoin's price likely to reach a new high."
Additionally, the $120,000 call options are currently the most popular options on the Deribit platform, with a nominal open interest value of $1.52 billion. Amberdata's derivatives director Greg Magadini stated: "The inauguration of Trump and the subsequent period will be a golden time for favorable announcements and policies, which could serve as positive catalysts for Bitcoin's rise." *Digital asset benchmark provider CF Benchmarks also expressed a similar view, while warning that any potential delays in policy-making could dampen bullish sentiment.
Last Friday, the editor reminded to pay attention to ETH/BTC, and currently the exchange rate is continuously rebounding. Once it breaks through 0.03735, it may surge to 0.0412.
According to historical data, ETH prices typically surge in the year following Bitcoin's halving, and with an upgrade narrative in the first quarter, Ethereum's performance can be expected. According to the latest predictions from KOL, the target for ETH this quarter is $5,000~$6,000.
Additionally, the Fear & Greed Index has risen to 76, shifting from greed to extreme greed. Meanwhile, the total market capitalization of cryptocurrencies continues to grow, accompanied by a decrease in BTC's market share, presenting potential breakout opportunities for leading altcoins.
Currently, SUI has already started to rise, and among the top 50 cryptocurrencies by market cap, BGB, PEPE, BNB, NEAR, and STX are still worth paying attention to.
SUI: On the 45-minute custom cycle, the price is entangled with the EMA24 moving average, and the MACD shows signs of a line top divergence. Pay attention to the support in the 5.153~5.216 range, with resistance above at 5.6.
BGB: The price has pulled back over 30% from its peak, with the 6-hour cycle consistently supported by the EMA52 moving average. If the MACD forms a golden cross and the fast and slow lines cross the zero axis, the price is likely to test 7.25, or even reach a high of 8.5.
PEPE: Can continue to be monitored, as Binance spot leaders are densely laying orders around the current price, with pullbacks presenting opportunities.
NEAR: The daily level has already surpassed EMA52. If it closes today at 6.135, it is expected to challenge 6.93.
STX: Over the past month, it has fallen by 52%, and the 6-hour moving average shows signs of a golden cross. The 12-hour and daily charts are approaching key moving average resistance at 1.8. If it breaks through, it is expected to surge to 2.5.
Content is for sharing only and for reference purposes, and does not constitute any investment advice!
If you have any questions, feel free to join the 【PRO CLUB】 group to discuss with the editor~
