Comprar Ethereum a 3300-3100 sem pensar

Bull Market Top Signal Indicator List (Brief Version) 1-01
Reject noise and patiently wait, the bull market is still ongoing.
Some Thoughts on BTC in 2025:
1. It is expected that BTC will record an annual increase of over 50% in 2025, potentially reaching a peak of $180,000 or even higher at $200,000. It will follow the US stock market throughout the year, exhibiting an M-shaped trend, peaking in December and then retreating, recording a decline of over 47% in 2026.
The equal-weighted cryptocurrency index will accelerate after breaking through the 2021 high, with significant gains for Ethereum and other mainstream tokens.

2. The relative strength of other mainstream altcoins has approached historical lows. I personally believe that in 2025, Ethereum, Litecoin, and Doge will see stronger upward momentum, with some institutions predicting this basket of tokens could rise by around 200% to 500%. I am also more optimistic about ETH (I will invest $500,000 for dollar-cost averaging starting tomorrow), partly due to the demand for catch-up growth and partly due to the influx of more funds with the launch of ETFs or other tools, especially with the continuation of trading sentiment surrounding Trump.

3. As Bitcoin's volatility narrows, it is expected that more institutions and individual investors will allocate this asset. Since 2017, Bitcoin's absolute return rate has been about 7000%, with a Sharpe ratio of 1.108. In comparison, Tesla's return rate during the same period has been about 2000%, with a Sharpe ratio of 1.101, while Nvidia's return rate has been 5600%, with a Sharpe ratio of 1.996.

4. Historically, the cycles following Bitcoin halving usually lead to prolonged price increases, often lasting up to a year (about 365 days). This trend suggests that the first quarter of 2025 will be dominated by the residual effects of the 2024 halving event, driving market optimism and pushing prices up. The halving reduces the rewards for miners, creating a tight supply and increased demand, fostering a favorable environment for Bitcoin's growth. This effect is expected to continue until March-April 2025, providing ample opportunities for investors and traders.