PANews reported on January 1 that a survey by consulting firm Gallup shows that two-thirds of Americans expect the stock market to rise in 2025, but a roughly equal proportion expect this to be accompanied by an escalation of domestic political conflict and international discord. 66% of respondents expect 2025 to be a year of stock market growth, which is 30 percentage points higher than predictions for 2023 made in December 2022 during a period of high inflation and low economic confidence. Overall, this year's predictions are more optimistic than those for 2022. 54% of respondents expect employment to increase or achieve full employment, and 52% predict reasonable price growth.
Recent polls also show that only 23% of Americans expect 'positive' political cooperation domestically under the Trump administration, while only 32% predict that international conditions will be relatively peaceful in 2025. However, these pessimistic figures represent an improvement compared to the voting results for political cooperation and international peace in 2023 (9% and 14%, respectively). This sentiment could impact the cryptocurrency market. History indicates that prolonged stock market gains can sometimes coincide with increases in Bitcoin prices.