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Ethereum January 1st Market Analysis Reference:

It’s 2025 now, wishing everyone a Happy New Year! In 2025, I hope everyone can achieve steady profits. 2024 has passed, and we firmly believe that each year will be better than the last.

After a round of back-and-forth, Ethereum made a sprint to the 3450-3460 resistance level last night before pulling back. Unfortunately, I fell asleep and missed out on this big opportunity. For those who saw the short position recommendation during the day, they should have taken a bite during the pullback.
In trading, follow the trend. If the overall direction is bullish, combine it with a smaller direction to go long; if the overall direction turns bearish, then combine it with the direction to go short. Don’t chase highs at the peak, and don’t chase lows at the bottom.

In the early morning, pay close attention to 3393 and 3380. If the 1-4 hour market pulls back and doesn’t break, it indicates a consolidation trend; breaking below 3380 would indicate a 1-hour level pullback, where important support levels and smaller support should be watched. Short-term bullish stability can focus on opportunities around 3350-3360; if it breaks below, give up. Major support still lies around 3320, 3230-3218.
Important resistance levels to watch are around 3460-3500-3530.

Technical Indicator Analysis

- MACD: No obvious trend, the MACD histogram has turned from positive to negative, indicating that the bears are starting to gain strength.
- KDJ: No KDJ golden cross or death cross, with a KDJ value of 79, in a neutral state, but the value is relatively high, indicating that the market's bullish and bearish forces are relatively balanced in the short term, although the bears have a certain potential advantage.
- Volume-Price Relationship: Recent trading volume has decreased, with both price and volume declining, indicating a quiet market, inactive trading, and weakening upward momentum.
- Candlestick Pattern: The 4-hour candlestick shows a large bullish bar followed by a bearish bar, indicating that the price has experienced some fluctuations in the short term. After the bulls pushed the price up earlier, the bears have started to exert pressure, causing a price pullback.

Forecast Analysis

Overall, Ethereum is currently in a consolidation phase and has certain downward pressure. In the short term, if the MACD histogram continues to maintain negative values and the J value in the KDJ indicator continues to decline, while the volume continues to shrink, then the price may continue to dip, with support at around 3316.0. If the price breaks below this support, it may seek further support near the 3300 long stop-loss point. If the volume gradually increases near the current price level, and there are signs of warming in the MACD histogram, along with a golden cross in the KDJ indicator, then the price may rebound upwards, with resistance around 3436-3455.