A ação do preço do Bitcoin em dólares americanos em 2024 e 2025 mostra um padrão semelhante ao de 2023. Uma olhada nos gráficos Bitcoin da Coinbase e Binance mostra que a tendência atual do BTC é surpreendentemente consistente com os principais padrões emergentes em 2023. Este padrão de consolidação e avanço geralmente anuncia um rápido aumento nos preços, e uma revisão dos dados históricos também pinta um possível plano futuro para nós.
Padrões semelhantes em 2024 e 2023
O Bitcoin passou por um período prolongado de movimento lateral, formando uma clara faixa de acumulação, tanto nos gráficos da Coinbase quanto da Binance. Em 2023, o Bitcoin rompeu a resistência chave de US$ 36.000, seguido por um rápido aumento de preço e em 2024, o BTC também completou um avanço semelhante perto de US$ 90.000; Estes níveis-chave tornam-se pontos críticos para a reação do mercado, sinalizando um aumento na atividade de compra.
On Coinbase's chart, BTC rapidly climbed in price after breaking the upper limit near $90,500, a trend that synchronized with Binance's chart, reflecting the same market sentiment and buying momentum. This indicates that Bitcoin may be on the verge of another significant rise similar to that of 2023.
$150,000 target
If this trend continues, Bitcoin is expected to break its historical high in 2025, potentially reaching $150,000. The realization of this goal depends on sustained buying pressure and positive market sentiment, especially in the context of improving global macroeconomic conditions. This increase in Bitcoin may also become a major driving force in the crypto market.
Key support and resistance for open interest
Bitcoin's open interest (OI) heatmap provides important clues regarding price fluctuations. The Binance platform shows dense trading activity in the $95,250 and $94,450 regions. These price ranges not only played a critical role in the last week of December, becoming the focus of support and resistance, but also indicated the market's consensus on these price levels.
The oscillation between these critical price levels, especially after a sharp decline in OI, indicates that the market is concentrating its strength to address these levels. If BTC can break through these important support and resistance levels, the price is expected to move towards the $150,000 target.
OBV indicator - the relationship between volume and price increase
Bitcoin's weekly OBV (On-Balance Volume) chart resembles the trend at the end of 2020. In 2020, when Bitcoin was around $20,000, the sharp rise in OBV preceded a rapid increase in price. This indicates that the accumulation of volume is often a precursor to price increases.
The current OBV trend has once again broken through a key channel, similar to the situation in 2020. When OBV reaches its upper limit, it usually indicates increased buying pressure in the market, which is closely related to BTC's price movement. If this trend continues, BTC could break the $150,000 mark in 2025, setting a new historical high.
There may be a short-term top, but long-term bullish sentiment is strong
Although the OBV chart shows potential short-term tops, especially near the $95,000 region, historical experience suggests that this will not hinder Bitcoin's long-term bullish trend. If OBV continues to rise and breaks through current levels, BTC is likely to experience a new round of price surges, pushing it towards the $150,000 target. Therefore, while short-term fluctuations and pullbacks may occur, the future outlook remains bright for long-term holders.
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