Price Volatility Situation
- 12月28日凌晨，比特币突然加速下跌，盘中一度跌近93000美元附近，不过很快修复跌幅，重回94000美元上方。最近24小时，全球有9.25万人被爆仓，爆仓总金额为2.41亿美元。
- 12月26日，科技公司Kulr Technology Group宣布购入价值2100万美元的比特币，并计划将90%的现金配置给比特币。
- 12月16日亚市早盘，比特币价格再度飙升，刷新历史新高，一度上涨超3%，达到106495美元。
Factors Influencing Trends
- Options Expiry Causes Volatility: On December 27, Bitcoin encountered an options expiration day worth $14.27 billion, with the largest open interest in options at a $90,000 strike price. Market makers may close hedged positions and short Bitcoin positions, leading to unusual market volatility.
- Macroeconomic and Regulatory Factors: The uncertainty of the global macroeconomic environment has increased, leading to a rise in market risk aversion, with investors withdrawing from high-risk assets. At the same time, the tightening regulatory expectations in the cryptocurrency space have impacted market confidence.
- Market Expectations and Capital Movements: On one hand, the Bitcoin halving cycle has triggered bullish expectations, and crypto analysts typically divide Bitcoin's price performance into four-year cycles, primarily based on the Bitcoin halving schedule, with the most recent halving occurring in April this year. Some believe that based on the average duration of previous cycles, investors may see cryptocurrencies reach a new, final peak for this cycle on January 17, 2025. On the other hand, Binance's Bitcoin reserves have dropped to their lowest level since January this year, raising expectations for a significant increase in Bitcoin prices.