According to the current market's pullback amplitude and trend, compared to historical markets, we have set relatively loose conditions with the aim of obtaining more data for reference.
By comparing with eight key historical time points, we found that one time point experienced a rapid decline within a month and entered a bear market, while another only began its bear market over a month later. The remaining six time points maintained an upward trend for at least a month, with the strongest upward movement even lasting five months.
If we tighten the conditions further, the current trend resembles the situation from December 2020 to January 2021. Therefore, I still believe that the bull market is likely to continue.
Of course, the market still needs to be continuously monitored. If the trends in January and February do not meet expectations, I will adjust my positions and reduce my holdings to half BTC, preparing to respond to potential adjustments. As for the market in 2025, according to my expectations, there is no need to liquidate before the entire first half of the year.
