Many people are skeptical about the arrival of a bull market, and many do not believe that an altcoin season will appear again. However, this wave of the market may exceed everyone's expectations! $BTC $ETH
Regarding price predictions, many voices are calling for 80,000, and just as many are calling for 2,800. From the strong capital inflow into Ethereum yesterday, we can see that the market does not want Ethereum to drop too deeply, which makes many investors feel uneasy and hesitant to enter.
So, why has Aave been able to rise so strongly? As the largest lending platform in the DeFi space, it can have weekly lending capital flows reaching 1 billion USD, mainly used for futures trading of BTC and ETH. Currently, the market cap of BTC and ETH has reached hundreds of billions, and the liquidation price basically needs to drop below 80,000. Under normal circumstances, the maximum tolerance for liquidation is 30 points; if that's the case, it means the price may drop below 80,000. This number is hard for me to imagine because if it really falls to that level, more people will no longer believe in the existence of a bull market.
So, should we enter the market now? When considering the pros and cons, many indicators suggest there may still be further room for decline. I can only say that friends with capital may consider laying low in spot positions and ponder a question: whether it's BTC or Ethereum, it shouldn't be difficult for BTC to challenge 100,000 again, right? How will the market react then? It's also not hard for Ethereum to break through 3,700; if it really reaches that price, what kind of situation will the market present?
Of course, if the bull market really ends, the market will experience a long period of decline, and that's fine. However, retail investors currently find it difficult to determine whether the bull market has ended. There is usually a clear daily or weekly divergence at the end of a bull market. The 69K in 2021 is a clear weekly top divergence, while the daily level of this round of the market has not yet shown divergence, so it is hard for me to believe that the bull market has ended.
Additionally, from a macro perspective, Trump is preparing policies related to cryptocurrencies in advance. Currently, these policies have not yet been implemented, but they are expected to take effect after January, and the favorable policies may continue, forming a policy peak.
From last night to today, many altcoins have experienced a general rise, but the only contradiction is that many cryptocurrencies in the top 100 by market cap still need to test the bottom. Therefore, friends who have made money before, especially those in mainstream coins, should consider entering with 30% of their positions and wait for an opportunity to average down, maintaining patience.
Whether it's BTC, ETH, or SOL, XRP, these can all serve as investments based on cryptocurrencies. When the market really takes off, if you don't have a foundational position, chasing after rising prices will be very intimidating, especially if you buy at costs above 100,000, 3,700, 220, or 3. The attractiveness of these coins will be greatly diminished!
