Starting from next week, we will inevitably enter the Christmas holiday season. I think Bitcoin will likely fluctuate between 94,000 and 98,000; it might continue to drop a little, but if it really falls to 90,000, it should stabilize.

Previously, I conducted a statistic showing that Christmas is not necessarily a time for price drops every time. The key is to observe the sentiment before Christmas. If the sentiment before Christmas is poor, it will indeed affect price trends due to low liquidity. However, this January has sufficient expectations, so I personally believe that investors are relatively rational.

Performance of BTC during holidays in the past five years:

During the period from 12.20 to 01.06, BTC had significant volatility, but the actual price fluctuations, except for 2020 which was particularly intense, were all within 10% in other years.

In 80% of the years, the price performance in the following two months was quite good. If we narrow down the buying time to one week after New Year's Day, the possibility of making a profit is still around 60%#比特币市场波动观察