Contra-sorteio da última sexta-feira, o que você viu no mercado?
É medo? Não, é ganância absoluta;
Quando há um declínio, um Grande número de pessoas comprará o fundo, o que obviamente não está de acordo com as expectativas. O verdadeiro fundo do estágio é acompanhado pelo mercado de pânico, por isso obviamente não está em vigor agora;
O círculo monetário está aqui, está aqui, você não pode confiar apenas nas palavras, você tem que fazer isso!
Nas últimas 24 horas, um total de 105.678 traders foram liquidados em toda a rede, com o valor total da liquidação atingindo US$ 288,76 milhões.
Recentemente, as ordens longas quase explodiram. Mesmo que o Bitcoin caia para 85.000, só pode cair para 1,17 bilhão de dólares americanos, pelo contrário, se o Bitcoin subir para 105.000, pode chegar a 2,4 bilhões de dólares americanos;
After extreme decline comes great rise, a rapid drop must have a rebound, in the short term, Bitcoin's second retest should focus on the previous low of 92000, as long as it doesn't break, there will definitely be a rebound.
A picture, different people see different results; some see the top and the risks; while I see the same level and the stars and the sea; we could be wrong, or we could be right, but that doesn't matter, sit at the table, place your bets, and it's important to validate your judgments with your positions;
Bitcoin's retracement from the highest point of 108353 is seen as a retracement against the blue push wave.
From a larger perspective, looking at Bitcoin alone, it currently seems to be very strong, the depth of the drop is too limited, which is also the biggest reason for market panic. Bitcoin hasn't dropped much, while altcoins are facing significant declines. If Bitcoin really goes down, what will happen to altcoins!
The wave pattern drawn has not changed. If the previous low cannot serve as a bottom, then 89600 will be a relatively strong support. There is no market that only goes up without going down, nor one that only goes down without going up. I believe now is not a very good time to open a short position. 'Just like a friend of mine' who has been shorting around the 100,000 integer mark, shorting, shorting, shorting, and has been stopped out countless times, I don't know if he managed to catch this smooth decline. However, at this position, I don't think the cost-performance ratio of going short is high, just look at the chart.
The previous low support pillar is the bottom; if it cannot hold, go to 89600 to find it.
Altcoins, I mean all of them, I believe they are all oversold relative to Bitcoin! Yes, this is my clear viewpoint!
Including ETH, SOL and other major mainstream currencies, relative to Bitcoin, they are indeed oversold!
I can't imagine what the market would be like if there is a rise of the same level, it would be incredibly exciting!
I firmly believe that the trend bull is still ongoing, the main upward wave is about to start, we use past K-line trends for comparison:
(1) The market officially started the K-line reference in September 2020, look at the chart yourself!
(2) The first round of major trend after the bear market in September 2023 is referenced again, as shown in the chart!
(3) This round of market similarly bottomed out in September, let's take a look at the chart!
In summary, there are too many coincidences, could this just be a resemblance? History is worth referencing, therefore I believe this round of adjustment has already seen sufficient decline, and I expect about 10 more days of adjustment time, during which there will be repeated fluctuations to build a bottom, and then a major upward wave will begin.
However, it is worth noting that in recent years the daily line has shown a downward trend around Christmas, so what about this time? A crash is unlikely, mainly fluctuations, just look for a suitable position during the fluctuations!
So the recent strategy is:
After the market decline, play the role of a corpse collector. I didn't see too many large liquidation orders yesterday, looking forward to a new round of decline, buying the dip and then selling during the rebound process, earning comfortable money. Based on experience, generally large premiums on U are quite good opportunities. Usually, there are no particularly large negative factors; if Bitcoin drops 20% in one day, it can basically recover 10% the next day, and if mainstream drops 30% in one day, it can generally recover 10-20% the next day, just a bit of experience. How to pick up corpses:
1 The project party has very strong background resources and strength;
2. Is the project party accumulating at the bottom, with a large amount of accumulation at the bottom;
As long as the two logics I mentioned are satisfied, the probability of a rise afterwards is over 99%.
