Cryptocurrency Internal Reference, Butcher Resolving Beef 12-22

One Key Focus on Economic Data and Events:

(1) On January 29, 2025, the probability of no interest rate cut today is 91.4% (note the risk)

(2) Geopolitics: Turmoil - Major Progress! Gaza ceasefire negotiations have entered the final stage (today's gold price 2621.39U)

(3) USD/JPY exchange rate: 156.42

Two On-chain Data and Market Sentiment:

(1) Market Sentiment Analysis: 59 (Neutral)

(2) ETF Dynamics: Continuous 2-day negative inflow (note the risk)

(3) Mining Data Analysis: 866.2 eh/s, transaction fee 7.39 gas: 6 S19 shutdown coin price: 59691-92822U

(4) Today's BTC leveraged funding rate: 0.009% (funding exchange rate in normal range with slight fluctuations)

(5) BTC market cap ratio 57.27%, negatively correlated, slight decline

(6) Today's volatility main logic review: Weekend low-volume trading, note the risk

(7) Trading Philosophy: Seek conscience, go with the trend, do not be swayed by the rise and fall of coin prices! Breaking the bandit in the mountain is easy, breaking the bandit in the heart is hard

Recent Potential Positives

1. FTX compensation funds entering the market (The court-approved Chapter 11 reorganization plan will take effect on January 3, 2025, pay attention to the movement of token $FTT )

2. Market after Christmas

3. Institutions starting new layouts after year-end settlements

Recent Potential Negatives

1. Japan's next interest rate hike backstab (January/March)

2. The US suspending interest rate cuts (January)

3. Large options volatility on December 27 (pain point 84000U, notional amount 14.209 billion U)

The above content is for information sharing only,

not constituting any investment advice!

Investment carries risks, and caution is required when entering the market!