À medida que o mercado gradualmente se livra do impacto dos cortes nas taxas de juros do Federal Reserve, o Ethereum (ETH) tem mostrado um forte impulso de recuperação, especialmente o aumento da atividade das baleias e as saídas contínuas das bolsas, proporcionando um suporte significativo aos preços do ETH. No entanto, será que o Ethereum pode quebrar a barreira psicológica chave de US$ 5.000 até 2025? Poderíamos também explorá-lo sob muitos aspectos.

As baleias agem com frequência e acumulam sinais fortes

O recente crescimento da atividade na cadeia Ethereum tem sido notável. As baleias e os investidores institucionais estão retirando ETH das bolsas em grande número, um fenômeno muitas vezes visto como um sinal de uma fase de acumulação. Por exemplo:

  • LookOnChain data shows that, in a short period, ten new wallets withdrew 17,698 ETH from Binance, worth over $61.66 million.

  • Another report mentioned that four newly activated whale wallets purchased ETH worth $28.43 million from Binance.

  • World Liberty Finance, under Donald Trump, directly purchased 759 ETH, valued at approximately $2.6 million.

The activity of whales indicates that the market is confident in Ethereum's long-term value. Coupled with investors' tendency to 'buy the dip' during market corrections, this undoubtedly provides price support for Ethereum.

The support for market recovery comes from both technical and sentiment aspects.

From a technical perspective, Ethereum has successfully held the $3,100 level of the 200-day EMA support and quickly rebounded to around $3,400. The next important resistance level is expected at $4,000, while the support level dips to around $2,850.

Sentiment is also positive:

  • The total amount of staked Ethereum exceeds 54.7 million, with the number of stakers breaking through 206,000, reflecting investors' long-term holding beliefs.

  • In terms of ETFs, Ethereum-related funds have seen net inflows for seven consecutive weeks, with December's inflow alone reaching $1.6 billion, setting a historical record.

Notably, analysts point out that the performance of Ethereum ETFs tends to align with that of gold ETFs, which may attract more capital in the future, especially with the support of yield staking and regulatory easing.

Can ETH reach $5,000? Several Key Variables

1. Macroeconomic Environment

  • Can the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut cycle drive an overall recovery in market liquidity? If economic conditions continue to improve, ETH may benefit from greater capital inflows.

2. On-chain Innovation and Ecological Development

  • Can the growth of Ethereum's Layer 2 scaling (like Arbitrum, Optimism) and emerging applications (DeFi, NFT) provide more substantial demand?

3. Whales and Institutional Behavior

  • If whales continue to accumulate and institutional investors increase their participation in ETFs, ETH breaking through $5,000 will be more likely.

4. Competition and Regulation

  • The market performance of Bitcoin (such as VanEck's projected BTC target price of $180,000) and whether Ethereum can continue to maintain its lead in L1 and L2 solutions.

Analysts' Optimistic Outlook

Several institutions hold an optimistic view on Ethereum's future performance:

  • VanEck's forecast suggests that Ethereum may reach $6,000 in this cycle.

  • Some bold analysts even believe that ETH has a chance to challenge the historical high of $8,800.

Although these predictions are hopeful, it is important to note that the volatility of the crypto market remains a potential risk. Therefore, whether ETH can break through $5,000 in 2025 still requires continuous observation of the macro environment, technological developments, and changes in market sentiment.

What are your thoughts on Ethereum's future price? Do you think the frequent accumulation by whales indicates that a new bull market is on the horizon? Feel free to comment and discuss your views!

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