Irmãos, cliquem e sigam esta Schisandra @五味子 para ajudá-lo a ganhar 20.000 seguidores.

Trump's inauguration is imminent, and he has extended invitations to multiple countries. The Eastern nation has clearly stated it will not participate. It seems that Trump's cabinet, consisting of hawkish elders, has adopted a clear and tough stance towards China, and the Eastern nation has also implemented a wolf warrior diplomacy. The trade war and financial war will become even more intense. The competition and confrontation between the two countries will also affect the fluctuations of the stock market, and the cryptocurrency market will be significantly impacted.
However, the seven giants of the U.S. stock market, technological advancements, and the bull market will continue, and the cryptocurrency bull market will also persist.
Recently, BTC has been fluctuating around 100k+, with no significant increase, and serious divergence in indicators, while altcoins have fallen instead of rising. In fact, Bitcoin is at a high position right now, and almost all the funds in the cryptocurrency market are concentrated on Bitcoin.
Moreover, the spot ETF continues to attract capital influx. The current play with BTC is not the same as in the past. External funds are continuously entering the market. It should be a time for indicator repair and balanced pullbacks, but there has been continuous divergence in the upward trend. Furthermore, the Ethereum spot ETF has also seen continued capital inflow recently. It can be confirmed that while altcoins may plummet in the future, Bitcoin and Ethereum may not necessarily drop.
For BTC to surge again, simply lowering interest rates will not continue to push it higher; the only thing to wait for is a new narrative, such as Trump taking office, issuing policies, and confirming BTC as a national strategic reserve that can be used for foreign trade settlement. Or it could be used for debt repayment, or it might be directly linked to gold and the U.S. dollar for settlement, which would raise it to another level. A future price of one million dollars is also possible.
However, from the current perspective, this has not been realized. So now, the price or narrative of BTC is merely a medium for speculators to harvest retail investors and institutions. It can be seen as a chip for gambling. The essence of finance is to buy low and sell high; chasing high prices now is indeed inappropriate.
At present, BTC shows divergence in volume and price, with a shrinking rise and potential inducement for buying, so I suggest everyone lay flat and observe recently. If you really want to trade, it's suggested to short around 102613, with a stop loss near 103000.
As for altcoins, many have started to correct. It is recommended to place orders near the last spike and wait. The corrections in altcoins are relatively normal in terms of patterns and cycles.
Someone asked when altcoins will start to rise; one standard is that USTD needs to be reissued, only then will funds enter the market, and liquidity will convert among various coins. Simply buying ETFs will only enrich BTC and ETH, while altcoins remain flat. $BTC