Os grandes fundos aproveitam a mentalidade dos investidores de varejo para criar armadilhas comerciais. Depois de entendê-los, você descobrirá que o sucesso pode ser copiado, porque você tem uma ferramenta poderosa para superar sua mentalidade.
Entre eles, aqui está uma lista simples dos 8 princípios principais da mentalidade comercial.
1. Efeito de ancoragem:
Demasiada dependência de informações prontamente disponíveis. Os efeitos de ancoragem são particularmente comuns. Por exemplo, se o preço da moeda subir de 5 U para 50 U, você colocará a âncora em 50 U. Quando o preço da moeda cair para 30 U, você se sentirá barato. Quando cair para 20 U, você sentirá que é o fim. Você esqueceu completamente o conceito de 5U. Na verdade, 20U quadruplicou. A ancoragem do preço lhe dá a “ilusão” de custo e baixo custo, levando a erros na tomada de decisões.
2. Loss aversion:
A strong preference for avoiding losses. Simply put, when prices rise, you check every day, but when you incur losses, you are unwilling to open trading software.
The pressure from losses is far greater than the joy of making money, because you entered the market to make money, without thinking about the possibility of losses. The aversion to losses can easily distort your trading operations. Whether it’s the stock market or the cryptocurrency market’s ups and downs, you may find yourself waiting desperately, hoping that the loss will disappear and turn into profit.
3. Sunk cost effect:
Pay more attention to the money already spent rather than the money that may be spent in the future. The sunk cost effect mainly refers to in stock trading, once a loss occurs, it’s easy to double down, unwilling to give up. Because giving up means that the unrealized loss becomes an actual loss. But you need to understand that the decline in cryptocurrency prices has already brought about actual losses, which will not decrease just because you haven’t sold.
Holding positions only represents the fluctuations of cryptocurrency prices and their relation to your gains and losses. Sunk costs exist not only in the cryptocurrency market but everywhere; as long as you invest, there will be sunk costs. It greatly affects a person's trading mentality.
4. Disposition effect:
Realizing profits early, but letting losses continue. The disposition effect has similarities with loss aversion, referring to the tendency to sell stocks that are rising while holding onto those that are falling. Many times, we are unwilling to move those losing cryptocurrencies, always hoping that the market rotation will drive the price up and reduce the losses. But the reality is that losses may continue, and profits may also persist; making the wrong disposition will still lead to significant losses.
5. Outcome preference:
Only judging the quality of a decision based on its outcome, without considering the quality of the decision itself. The biggest problem with outcome preference in the stock market is treating luck as skill. When you buy a stock and make money, you feel like you did the right thing, without considering the quality of the decision itself. If you made a decision purely based on luck, you naturally won’t summarize any patterns. We need to consider the quality of the decision itself more and reflect on the correctness of each buy and sell.
6. Recent preferences:
Placing more importance on recent data or experiences while ignoring earlier data or experiences. Recent preferences mean there is a period of making money, followed by a period of not making money. We pay great attention to the current market conditions and the current hotspots, but we also cannot ignore past data and experiences. Recent preferences may provide great help in certain short-term market phases, but in the long run, they could lead to pitfalls.
7. Trend effect:
Blindly believing in something just because many others believe it. The trend effect, which is more common, most people choose to trade cryptocurrencies because of the trend effect. Simply following the trend to buy cryptocurrencies, without considering whether you should trade or if you are suitable for entering the cryptocurrency market. When buying and selling cryptocurrencies, it’s easy to be influenced by the decisions of those around you, leading to decisions made by following the crowd. This trend effect brings about a herd effect, resulting in a large number of retail investors being harvested by major funds.
8. Law of small numbers:
Drawing unfounded conclusions from too little information. Many people may have heard of the law of large numbers, in fact, stock trading is the law of large numbers. The law of small numbers refers to the fact that a few successful investment experiences do not represent true success. For example, if you make 3 investments and succeed 2 times, you think the success rate is 66%. If you make 5 investments and succeed 3 times, the success rate is 60%, which has decreased. If you invest 50 times, the success probability may only be 25 times, making the success rate only 50%. The law of small numbers represents accidental investment success, which has an element of luck. To achieve long-term success, you must repeatedly invest and verify.
Summarized the mentality of investment, whether it’s investment or speculation, it really isn’t necessary to differentiate so clearly.
To play in the cryptocurrency circle, you need to learn and expand your understanding. But one thing to remember is that it's hard for people to understand things beyond their comprehension, let's encourage each other!
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