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From a technical perspective, the MACD indicator of ETH has formed a death cross, indicating that market momentum continues to weaken, and there is a lack of significant upward driving force in the short term. Additionally, the upper pressure of the Bollinger Bands has consistently failed to break through effectively, limiting the bullish push. On a macro level, the Fed's dot plot suggests there may be two rate cuts in 2025. Although this expectation causes some fluctuations in market sentiment, the market has already digested these signals in advance.

It is worth noting that there has been a lack of significant up and down pin bars recently, indicating that the main funds may have withdrawn in advance. Combined with the current trend, the downside risk of ETH is gradually increasing, especially in a context where market bulls and bears are in a stalemate and there is a lack of substantial positive news.

In the face of market uncertainty, short-term investors need to beware of volatility risks, while medium- to long-term investors may need to pay attention to the fundamental development of the Ethereum ecosystem. For more market analysis, feel free to follow Jiao Shou, who will take you to see the logic behind the market trends!

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