Judging trends is difficult

I give you a piece of advice: If you really want to survive and make money in the Bitcoin market, the first step is to filter out news, such as interest rate hikes and cuts, this call and that call, who bought and supported again, filter out all technical analysis, such as drawing lines, MACD, volume and price, liquidation maps, etc. These can't be said to be completely useless; often they only seem useful on the surface. If you indulge in these, you will always be one of those who get cut. After filtering, look at the trajectory of the entire cycle until you feel you understand it, then go to verify.