Next market forecast:
Around the end of December, there will be a peak, and there may be a significant drop in January. The bottom in January should be reached, and there may be a surge in February and March. From April to September, there may be a downward consolidation, and then from October to December, a second peak will form. The four-year bull market is expected to end around 2026, after which a bear market may arrive.
Morning key summary:
1. The Nasdaq 100 index will include MicroStrategy on December 23, and this news may bring a large influx of funds. Congratulations to MicroStrategy and Bitcoin.
2. Most analysts are optimistic about the Christmas market, predicting that Ethereum may break $5,000 early next year. Over the past 10 years, in 8 of those years, cryptocurrencies have risen around Christmas.
3. The Bank of Japan's meeting next week is likely to keep interest rates unchanged, so there is no need to worry too much about negative impacts.
4. Approximately 2.25 million wallets bought 2.18 million BTC between $94,300 and $100,250, forming strong support.
5. In the past 30 days, CEX (centralized exchanges) have seen an outflow of 124,000 BTC. The tight supply situation will drive prices up, and continuous outflow is a positive sign for the market.
6. Today, USDC issued another 50 million coins. Continuous issuance means there is more buying power in the market, which is a good signal for the market.
7. Everyone is discussing that the altcoin season is approaching, focusing on those small-cap coins that are breaking new highs and showing strong momentum.
