Comentário inicial: Enquanto o Bitcoin não cair, o mercado imitador iniciará a segunda fase do mercado altista, subindo várias vezes e depois recuando!
O Bitcoin estava sendo negociado lateralmente acima de US$ 100.000 por um dia ontem. Ele desceu esta manhã, mas não caiu abaixo da faixa inferior do canal. No conteúdo anterior, Muyang mencionou várias vezes a marca de US$ 100.000 e destacou que a posição de Fibonacci 1.414 no ciclo Bitcoin está na linha 102500. A pressão nesta linha é muito forte e o Bitcoin não durou muito nesta posição. , o que vemos é uma retração após três avanços consecutivos.
Currently, in the short term, we just need to closely monitor whether it can stabilize at the 100,000 mark. The shepherd's view remains unchanged: Bitcoin will continue to oscillate upwards within this range, then undergo a major pullback. The reason is that since Bitcoin has risen from 60,000 in this round of market, it has been driven up by huge bullish leverage, with many profit-taking positions still in play! When subsequent funds are insufficient, Bitcoin will inevitably need to pull back!#比特币行情
Subsequently, the target breakout position is in the range of 102500-116000, which is my viewpoint! As long as Bitcoin stays above 100,000, we can consider that the second phase of altcoin rally is about to come, and funds will start rotating into altcoins. At this time, it is more about considering exiting altcoins because no one can catch the tail end! So yesterday, the shepherd already exited LINK in hand! When an altcoin gives you a 5x return, I recommend considering exiting, especially for some old altcoins. Many people fantasize about these old coins skyrocketing by dozens or even hundreds of times. I believe such situations may occur, but the risks we take will be enormous. You need to consider whether you can withstand a significant pullback! Have you accepted the risks that come with such pullbacks? For intraday Bitcoin: If it doesn't drop below the midline of 98700 in the 4H chart, we can consider entering! Currently, Bitcoin's bullish accumulation is around 14.3 billion! The bullish trend remains very strong! In a bull market, do not short; do not go against the trend! We can observe the pullback, but absolutely do not enter shorts! The timing for shorting has not yet arrived!
ETH: Yesterday, we exited our ETH position at 3650, with the exit point at 3900. Then we placed a buy order at 3860, which was perfectly triggered! Let me explain why we decided to buy at this position. We were looking at the 4H chart and saw that ETH faced resistance twice and did not break through 4000. Therefore, during the pullback, we decided to exit at 3900. The reason for placing the buy order at 3860 was that the range of 3848-3860 was right at this key level. So, when ETH was still above 3900, we made this decision, and it quickly dipped to around 3840 before rebounding! Although we didn't buy at the lowest point, it doesn't affect our entry this time! ETH remains weak and is currently operating at a major resistance level. If it doesn't stabilize above 4000, we will still focus on trading within the range!
Regarding altcoins: I have mentioned the lending sector's COMP and AAVE multiple times, including in some previous videos specifically discussing altcoins. This is why the lending sector is considered the catalyst for a bull market. When the market is rising unidirectionally, players may lack sufficient assets and do not want to take on the risk, so they will opt for borrowing coins. AAVE and COMP are the most optimal in this lending sector. They each have their characteristics; people are not borrowing AAVE and COMP directly, but rather through these two platforms, where lenders earn interest, and borrowers obtain loans! Therefore, when COMP was at 38 and AAVE was below 100, I mentioned in public content that everyone should pay attention to their allocations! I emphasized that the bull market starts with the lending sector moving first for this reason! When you observe that the overall lending pledge rate begins to gradually decline, it is time to be cautious as the bull market may have peaked, because profit-taking has started to settle and repayments are being made! At this point, this is one of the decision-making bases for exiting at the peak!
