Você pode achar incrível que o Bitcoin suba para 1 milhão de dólares americanos, mas seja paciente e leia minha análise abaixo.
Muitas pessoas se perguntam como uma moeda virtual descentralizada e não física pode valer tanto dinheiro. Principalmente porque a compreensão da maioria das pessoas sobre o Bitcoin permanece apenas no nível do “valor da moeda”.
Tendo em conta a escassez do Bitcoin, algumas pessoas acreditam que o Bitcoin se tornará uma moeda forte como o ouro, por isso o Bitcoin é chamado de "ouro macio". Essas pessoas acreditam que o Bitcoin pode substituir o dólar americano e se proteger contra a desvalorização do dólar americano, o que não é inteiramente verdade. O valor do Bitcoin não é substituir o dólar americano, mas cooperar com o dólar americano.
Currently, U.S. dollar debt has reached 35 trillion, exceeding the GDP of the U.S. for a year, and it will be even higher in the future. The debt growth rate surpasses the GDP growth rate, making it impossible for the U.S. to repay the snowballing debt through conventional means. With such high debt, what should be done? If not repaid, there will be a default, leading to a loss of dollar credibility, and these circulating dollar debts must be repaid. How to repay? Only through massive money printing. Everyone knows that printing money will lead to a significant devaluation of the dollar, losing its status as the world's number one currency. In the early days, the dollar was linked to gold, but gradually, too much dollar was printed, and it could not be maintained. Then it was linked to emerging liquid gold, oil, but with the rise of new energy, the importance of oil is gradually diminishing. How to dilute the over-issued dollars? That's right, Bitcoin shines at this moment. Compared to scarce physical assets, decentralized virtual currency is a better reservoir for the dollar. Virtual currency is a naturally isolated group, and its price rise does not lead to significant physical inflation. Therefore, the scarcity of virtual goods perfectly becomes a new reservoir for dollar debt and over-issued currency. As dollar debt continues to increase, the over-issued dollars will largely transfer to the appreciation of Bitcoin, pushing up Bitcoin's price. This is also the basic logic behind major U.S. capital increasing their Bitcoin holdings, which will also drive some enterprises and other countries to hold it. As dollar debt rises, dollar over-issuance occurs, and Bitcoin appreciates, holding Bitcoin becomes an asset.
Some people may say virtual currency is decentralized, with good security and privacy, but don't forget that the circulation of virtual currency requires virtual currency exchanges. The government cannot regulate virtual currency, but it can regulate exchanges. Indirectly, virtual currency can still be humanely regulated, without achieving true decentralization.
Once the virtual currency pool accumulates funds from around the world, and non-U.S. institutions or countries predominantly acquire virtual currency, the U.S. institutions in this pool may team up to run away, transferring the 'water' in the pool to other holders, leading to a collapse in currency value, and Bitcoin will become a liability. The massive 'water' in the pool will evaporate into thin air, perfecting the dollar debt. Even without other institutions taking over, the dollar debt will continuously flow into this pool, gradually increasing and pushing up Bitcoin without impacting the U.S. real economy.
In summary, Bitcoin is a perfect tool for the cunning dollarization of debt.
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