This month's key market events are intensive, here are some key time points and market outlook:

Important economic data and events

- December 4 (Wednesday): U.S. November ADP employment numbers released (21:15)

- December 5 (Thursday):

- Federal Reserve releases economic conditions Beige Book (03:00)

- U.S. initial jobless claims for the week (21:30)

- December 6 (Friday):

- U.S. November unemployment rate (21:30)

- Non-farm payroll data (21:30)

- December 11 (Wednesday): U.S. November unadjusted CPI year-on-year released (21:30)

- December 19 (Thursday):

- Federal Reserve interest rate decision (03:00)

- Powell holds a monetary policy press conference (03:30)

Cryptocurrency market outlook

With the Thanksgiving holiday over, U.S. market activity gradually picks up, and market focus shifts back to economic data and market trends:

1. Bitcoin and Ethereum: Bitcoin has been consolidating near the key position of $100,000 for a long time, while Ethereum has shown strong performance recently, successfully taking over and leading the market rebound. The bullish momentum in the spot market continues to grow, with significant capital inflows.

2. Options and interest rate focus: Although the options market is not very volatile, block trades and market interest rates remain key focus points.

3. ETF trend: If related ETF funds continue to maintain inflow momentum, the likelihood of Bitcoin hitting the $100,000 mark before the end of the year will significantly increase.

Federal Reserve interest rate decision impact expectations

This month's interest rate decision is expected to raise by 25 basis points, a result that has been fully anticipated and digested by the market. Unless the Federal Reserve reveals a more hawkish stance in its statement, the impact of this decision on the market may be limited. In short, the market's reaction to the "expected outcome" is relatively muted, but the details of future policy direction remain key variables. #Layer1公链普涨 #RWA板块普涨 #下一个换谁涨？ #微策略持续增持BTC