Macroeconomic
1. The key data for this week is Wednesday's ADP and Friday's non-farm data. The former is expected to be lower than the previous value (bullish), while the latter is expected to be higher than the previous value (bearish). The unemployment rate is also expected to rise (bullish) — this week, employment data is showing divergence, making it difficult to grasp, so pay attention to real-time data announcements.
2. Multiple Federal Reserve voting members will speak this week, with a focus on the content of Federal Reserve Chairman Powell's speech on Friday.
3. Last Friday and the previous month, U.S. stocks performed well. In terms of sectors, the robotics and chip sectors excelled, contributing to a good performance in tech stocks. The cryptocurrency market received some boost, especially tokens linked to AI, such as GLM, WLD, and ARKM. Continue to look for buying opportunities on pullbacks this week.
4. Recently, BTC has maintained high levels, and its short-term performance is not as strong as altcoins. The market shows clear signs of rebalancing and repositioning, likely opening up an altcoin season.
5. Liquidation data shows that current short liquidations > long liquidations, indicating that the market's bullish foundation remains unchanged, and the trading rhythm is still dominated by low long positions.
6. The Bitcoin spot ETF continues to show net inflows, although the inflow magnitude has decreased compared to before, the bullish sentiment in the market remains strong, with no signs of outflows, and funds continue to be optimistic.
7. XRP leads the rally, and established altcoins are starting to recover. The position of traditional coins is facing some impact. In terms of layout selection, try to avoid traditional high-ranking positions and focus on coins with significant rebound potential — similar to the thinking of 'light large-cap, heavy individual stocks' in the stock market.