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Financial Associated Press, 3 de dezembro (Editor Zhao Hao) Raphael Bostic, um funcionário "hawkish" do Federal Reserve, disse que embora acredite que o Federal Reserve deveria continuar a reduzir as taxas de empréstimo, ele não decidiu apoiá-lo . O banco reduzirá as taxas de juros este mês.

Na segunda-feira (2 de dezembro), horário local, Bostic publicou um artigo no site oficial do Fed de Atlanta e escreveu que os riscos para o Comitê Federal de Mercado Aberto (FOMC) de alcançar a dupla tarefa de emprego máximo e estabilidade de preços mudaram, e estão aproximadamente equilibrados, pelo que “devemos também começar a mudar a nossa política monetária no sentido de uma postura que não estimule nem iniba a actividade económica”.

Bostic believes that despite the data being volatile, US inflation is indeed steadily progressing towards the Federal Reserve's 2% target. He also noted that the labor market has not shown signs of rapid deterioration, but policymakers need to remain vigilant about the risks to inflation and employment.

Source: Atlanta Federal Reserve official website

In a phone conversation with the media, Bostic stated, “I will continue to maintain my options,” regarding whether to support a rate cut when central bank officials gather in Washington from December 17 to 18.

Since September, the Federal Reserve has cut interest rates by 50 basis points and 25 basis points, lowering the target range for the federal funds rate to between 4.5% and 4.75%. Several officials have stated that they support taking a more gradual approach to rate cuts in the coming months.

Bostic indicated that he also supports this rate cut, as inflation is expected to reach the Federal Reserve's 2% target. He also mentioned that the reduction in job vacancies proves that restrictive monetary policy is helping to cool the labor market, but overall, the labor market remains stable.

“These trends have not sent strong signals indicating that the labor market is rapidly deteriorating, nor have they indicated extreme tension. On the contrary, they suggest that in the face of higher interest rates, the labor market is cooling in an orderly manner, and we have heard this perspective from business contacts.”

Bostic listed several reasons why he believes inflation will continue to decline, mentioning that weak rents should ultimately drive down housing inflation—this is a key issue behind overall price pressures over the past year. However, he also stated, “There are certainly upward risks to prices.”

When asked whether the potential tariffs from President Trump would affect his economic outlook, Bostic stated that he would ask his staff to wait until fiscal policy becomes clearer before making a decision.

“Over the past six or seven years, what we have seen is that many proposals have been put forward, but there have been significant changes during the deliberation process.”

(Financial Association Zhao Hao)