O grande mercado altista de 2025 será a última oportunidade para muitos pequenos investidores de varejo embarcarem. Se você perder esta rodada, basta esperar por outro ciclo de quatro anos. O mercado altista em 2024 basicamente chegou ao fim. Você deve aproveitar o grande mercado altista que o receberá no próximo ano.
Ainda existem duas maneiras de prever o mercado altista no círculo monetário em 2025.
Inconscientemente, o mercado altista no círculo monetário percorreu menos da metade do caminho. Pensei cuidadosamente sobre isso e descobri que há três movimentos no mercado altista no círculo monetário, e ainda restam dois movimentos no mercado altista em 2025. .
O primeiro movimento no mercado altista foi negado pelo mercado. É o caminho mais convencional a seguir. Haverá primeiro um pequeno mercado altista, e o Bitcoin subirá de US$ 15.500 em 2022 para perto da linha da seção áurea, o preço mais alto do mercado altista anterior, que é de cerca de US$ 42.600 para o Bitcoin. , e então subirá e cairá novamente. Finalmente, em 2025, o Bitcoin rompeu o ponto mais alto do mercado altista anterior de US$ 69.000, e um novo mercado altista começou oficialmente. Esse tipo de movimento provavelmente ocorrerá no mercado altista em 2029.
The second scenario for the bull market in 2025 is the false breakout pattern. From the current perspective, the likelihood is increasing. That is, during the previous bull market peak at $69,000, it falsely broke out to around $73,000, misleading retail investors into thinking the bull market had arrived, attracting follow-up buying. The market makers exploit retail investors' following behavior, trapping a large number of new entrants into the cryptocurrency space; this is a premeditated, organized, and planned trap for harvesting retail investors. After being trapped, there will be a significant drop, followed by repeated grinding at new lows. A sudden start of a major bull market will then occur in 2025.
The third scenario for the bull market in 2025 is also the double-headed bull pattern. This possibility is also very high. That is, after breaking through the previous high, there will be a slight adjustment, followed by a gradual rise, reaching a price slightly lower than the highest price of the 2025 bull market, which is around $120,000, followed by a significant drop. When most retail investors mistakenly believe the bull market has ended, there will be a significant rebound, and the 2025 bull market will officially arrive, with Bitcoin soaring to $186,000 before the bull market ends.
If the 2025 bull market has a double-headed bull, you can refer to the pattern of Bitcoin's 2013 bull market.
The time period for the first round of the bull market: October 2011 to April 2013, lasting 7 months. The halving of Bitcoin's production occurred on November 28, 2012. Bitcoin rose from $2 to $260, an increase of 130 times. Then, in less than a week, Bitcoin fell to $50, a decline of 80%.
The time period for the second round of the bull market: April 2013 to December 2013, lasting 8 months. Bitcoin started to rise from $50 and reached $1,000 by December 2013, an increase of 23 times. After that, it fell to $150 in January 2015, a decline of 87%. Thus, the 2013 double-headed bull market ended.
Because of the bull markets in 2013 and 2025, the amount of funds entering the cryptocurrency space is too large compared to the existing funds, leading to a double-headed bull market. Why a double-headed bull? Because the initial explosion of the bull market happened too quickly, with basically no major pullbacks, so there will be a significant pullback at the peak later, followed by another rise; this is called a double-headed bull.
The cryptocurrency market is a market for capital competition. The price trend is closely related to the amount of new funds entering the market. If we compare the existing cryptocurrency market to a bowl of water, the amount of new funds that come in is like adding another bowl of water; the price trend of Bitcoin will follow the first standard pattern. When four bowls of water come in, the price trend of Bitcoin will follow the second false breakout pattern. When six bowls of water come in, the price trend of Bitcoin will follow the third double-headed bull pattern.
Of course, today's Bitcoin is fundamentally different from the previous two rounds of halving market environments and its own development. From the perspective of the broader environment, Bitcoin has gained widespread consensus and recognition globally, especially after the Bitcoin spot ETF was approved, becoming a legal investment channel. A large number of traditional financial institutions, such as publicly traded companies on Wall Street, banks, investment banks, and funds have subsequently entered the market, providing a more solid value foundation for Bitcoin. Additionally, due to the development and prosperity of the cryptocurrency market itself, especially with numerous decentralized finance projects continually being implemented and the breaking of non-fungible token concepts, Bitcoin and the entire market have gained a broad user base, with a higher potential ceiling compared to the first halving market.
The CEO of BlackRock in 2017: 'Bitcoin is a money laundering indicator.'
The CEO of BlackRock in 2023: 'Bitcoin is an asset that can protect you.'
The CEO of BlackRock in 2024: 'The value of freedom is equal to the value of Bitcoin!'
Any technical analysis in a bull market is pale and powerless. In fact, any pullback, regardless of its magnitude or duration, will eventually rise to create new highs. What is tested is the mentality. What retail investors should do is to enter the market when prices are low. Doing so has an accuracy rate of over 95%. Stick to doing high-probability things, and profits will be as simple as breathing.
History does not repeat itself but is always strikingly similar. Today's initial rapid rise often only represents the first phase of the bull market.
In the initial stages of a bull market, it always rises first, then rises again, and finally rises once more. After the initial stage of the bull market, there are often many crashes, slow rises, rapid crashes, and continued slow rises.
In the first two rounds of the bull market, there were continuous increases, accompanied by multiple crashes. In 2017, there were more crashes and slower rises. In 2021, there were fewer crashes and faster rises. Therefore, for a healthy long-term bull market, there must be more crashes to clear leverage. A good wash is healthier. If there are no crashes and everything goes straight up, I would worry that the peak of this bull market might be lower and that a violent wash could come at any time.
In the rising trend of the bull market, frequent crashes instead indicate that Bitcoin's price will ultimately be higher. So do not be anxious. If a sudden crash occurs in the next few days to clean up leverage, that is also a very typical feature of a bull market. After all, it has already broken through historical highs. We are already in a major bull market; why should retail investors still panic? Hold your spot trading and welcome the new highs.
In short, the bull market is far from over, and the moment when all currencies soar has not yet arrived. Do not wait until looking back brings regret about why this coin was not held and that coin was also not held; wanting to do a swing trade and regretting it later. When the market ends, retail investors will only understand that the bear market has arrived.
The four most precious words in the world: faith, persistence, perseverance, gratitude. Those with faith gain opportunities, those who are persistent change themselves, those who persevere change their destinies, and those who are grateful retain their blessings.
In the current fluctuating market changes, blindly going solo will never bring opportunities. Focus on Di Ge, spot trading, layout timing, strategy, Wu Chang announcement.
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