According to reports, less than a week before the U.S. election results are announced, the competition between the two parties has reached an extreme level of intensity. Unlike previous elections, the support rates of party candidates Harris and Trump are very close, especially in the swing states where their support rates are neck and neck, within a 0.1% 'margin of error.' A poll released by U.S. media on the 25th shows that Trump maintains a slight lead in seven swing states, but the margin is very small. By the time of the final vote, this result could be considered 'bad news' for the Democratic Party; because even if a small part of the survey is inaccurate, it is still a signal that Trump is 'significantly ahead,' and winning the swing states is tantamount to obtaining the key to the White House.
On the 31st, U.S. media CNN released another completely different poll, showing that Harris has 'reclaimed three cities.' The poll indicates that in the three key swing states of Michigan, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania, Harris's support rates in the first two states have rebounded and exceeded Trump's. In Pennsylvania, the support rates for Trump and Harris have reached a 'highly balanced' situation; this means that the previous assertion that Trump had a significant lead is no longer valid, and Harris is now catching up. The two polls come from different companies, and it is certainly possible that there are 'subjective errors' in the meantime.
On the other hand, American entrepreneur Musk, who previously pushed for the 'million-dollar bonus to promote the election,' has also encountered a crisis. According to U.S. media reports, Musk has been asked to attend a hearing in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, on the morning of the 31st. He has already faced a lawsuit, with the Philadelphia prosecutor accusing him of 'illegally operating a lottery to manipulate the election.' If the lawsuit is upheld, Musk could face a maximum prison sentence, and there is also the possibility of fines. According to legal experts in the U.S., his actions are actually difficult to be classified as 'manipulating the election,' since these expenditures were made from private funds and did not use donations from the campaign team.
The Ipsos poll, which previously strongly supported Harris, also indicated that Harris's national support rate 'still leads Trump by about 1%.' This polling agency reported three weeks ago that Harris maintained an advantage in several regions, but was accused by Trump’s team of 'fabricating polls for profit,' implying that public opinion surveys may be inflated. Given the current intense competition between the two parties, this year, U.S. voter turnout is expected to reach a new high. There are also non-profit organizations stating that Trump’s biggest concern now is whether Harris will 'steal votes,' hence requiring strict investigations into the fairness of the elections across various regions.
It is worth noting that Harris had earlier announced his major initiative to 'deport refugees,' aiming to raise his support rate by addressing the issue of illegal immigration. Some of Trump's allies also expect that the former president will repeat his 2020 approach this year, quickly announcing victory on election night, even if the results from key swing states have not yet been determined. Some commentators believe that Harris's current 'weakness' lies in the fact that she has not made any efforts to improve people's livelihoods, and now suddenly emphasizes that she will work for the benefit of the American people, which many people do not believe, thus making Trump's return to the White House seem like a foregone conclusion to some.
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