Good morning
The opening line at the beginning of the month determines the future trend, so you might as well wait and see
Opportunities always come to those who are prepared
In any period of market rise, most retail investors must be cleared out, otherwise the subsequent rise will not be too strong. Many people are optimistic that the Ethereum spot ETF will pass in July and bring a wave of market
But from the perspective of time and space, the adjustment is not in place, even if there is a small wave of gains, it will be a trick to get on the bus and then harvest #以太坊ETF批准预期

The current contract holdings are more than the peak of the last bull market. Now it is more like the leverage cleanup after the Defi summer of the last bull market. You thought that the leverage cleanup was a big negative needle coming down directly. But this round is a drop and rise, and then a drop and rise, slowly grinding away all the leverage. During this period, you should watch less and operate less. Don't wait until the wind comes and your principal is gone. #美国PCE数据将公布

If you want to invest in the MEME sector or Bitcoin L2 in the short term and long term
If you have enough positions and can make plans, I suggest Bitcoin L2. Although the Bitcoin L2 sector still has a long way to go, it is also an indispensable part of the development of the Bitcoin ecosystem. If you are just doing short-term, it is also a good opportunity to wait for the MEME sector. Isn't it a popular saying: poor people do memes and rich people do Bitcoin.
After coming down from the high point this year, it has been going up and down around a position, and it has been going back and forth for three months.
Can it break the previous high?
As Europe began to slowly cut interest rates, pressure was put on the United States. From the data, it is inevitable that the United States will cut interest rates in the later period. It depends on whether it can complete a rate cut this year. The price and K-line of Bitcoin can be said to be ready to go. As time goes by, the market will definitely benefit the party with chips.
Be well prepared and don't get off easily. #美联储何时降息？

Adding positions at a loss is the source of failure. The market will change according to economic changes. If you can't keep up with the market, you can't keep up with the economy and you can't make money. Never try to make money beyond your cognition#币安用户数突破2亿

According to everyone's understanding, what stage do you think the cryptocurrency market is in now?
If we look at it from the perspective of the bull and bear stages, it is now in the middle of the fourth cryptocurrency bull market. According to a 4-year cycle, there is a 3-year bear market and a 1-year bull market. In a 1-year bull market, the first 8 months are basically a slow wash-out decline. The next 2 months are a rush, and the last 2 months are a peak.
Strictly speaking, the bull market started in October 23. So now the bull market is interrupted. There are still more than 2 months left in the bull market. The real outbreak period has not yet come. The outbreak period should be like this from August to October. It will end around May 2025.
Of course, this is not true. This is just a point of view I have drawn based on historical past. It cannot be counted. I don't know if it is right or not. But the law of the past cycle is like this. The cryptocurrency market will not rise or fall all the time. This market is developing very quickly.
It must rise rapidly to finally catch up with the market value of gold. So it is a 4-year cycle and the real outbreak is completed in 3-4 months, that is to say, you wait for 4 years just to wait for those 3-4 months. If you miss 3-4 months, your profit will be gone and you may even lose money.
The currency circle must also have the potential to drop sharply to eliminate scams, junk projects and speculators.
The most important thing about the currency circle is efficiency. It was born to change the efficiency of finance, so it must eliminate junk projects. When the bear market starts, except for BTC and ETH, you can't hold them, and you shouldn't keep the others. There may be only two targets that really cross the cycle, one is BTC and the other is ETH. Others may just be runners-up, so wait patiently for the arrival of the violent bull market!
If you have already configured it before, you must have confidence in your position #BTC走势分析

After this wave of oversold, there will be a rebound, which will make many people think that they are fine again, and they will chase high and buy in. Then the market will continue to pull back, causing the mentality of the small leeks to explode again. This will happen back and forth several times. Those who said before that they would die in the bull market will be heartbroken and hand over their chips. #美联储何时降息？

crv, liquidation is over, market value is only 380 million, not as good as local dog, I wonder if this wave can let me win once? 🥹

Ambulance drivers were all drafted.
Fighting for the squid tribe, to the last man.
In August 2023, the Ukrainian government and BlackRock signed an agreement to establish the "Ukrainian Development Fund". According to this agreement, BlackRock will take over the energy, mining, infrastructure, power grid, agriculture and other investments still under the control of the Zelensky regime and all state-owned enterprises in Ukraine. In return, the company is responsible for the high debt of the Zelensky regime, which has exceeded 110 billion US dollars. In other words, BlackRock took over a large part of Ukraine's state-owned assets while Ukraine was in a national crisis.
The fire in Hawaii, USA in August 2023. After the disaster, a company bought a large area of ​​these houses at a low price of 20,000 US dollars. Before that, the residents of Hawaii had been reluctant to sell until the fire was damaged and a large number of casualties occurred. The local residents were forced to sell their houses and land at a low price. And it was BlackRock that bought these properties.
Why did Japan dare to discharge nuclear wastewater in 2023 against global public opinion, and Western public opinion collectively lost its voice? The answer is that there is someone behind him to support him. The main party responsible for the discharge of Fukushima nuclear wastewater into the sea is Tokyo Electric Power Company, and the major shareholder of Tokyo Electric Power Company is BlackRock.
The founder of BlackRock Group is Larry Fink, known as the Godfather of Wall Street, a Jew who invented MBS.
BlackRock and Vanguard are all shareholders of the Fortune 500 companies except those in mainland China, and most of them are major shareholders. #美联储连续第七次维持基准利率不变

Good morning, brothers. Last night's CPI data was positive, and there was a deep V rebound.
Then the interest rate meeting at 2:00 a.m. and Powell's speech poured cold water on the market.
Powell's speech was quite restrained, trying to dispel the market's premature optimism.
Originally, everyone thought that there would be two interest rate cuts.
The dot plot cut the expected interest rate cuts this year from 3 to 1, and raised it to 4 next year.
The dream of interest rate cuts can only be put on hold.
Old Bao doesn't want to open champagne in advance,
to avoid being slapped in the face by excessive inflation later.
From the data on the chain, stablecoins have rebounded in the past few days,
and BTC in the exchange has flowed out.
The release of various economic data in the future is crucial,
and subsequent employment, PMI and other data will become an important source of fluctuations in the currency circle.
If various data show that inflation has cooled down,
then the possibility of interest rate cuts in September will be strengthened.
I summarized it for everyone in early June:
From a large cycle perspective, we are currently on the eve of the Fed's interest rate cut cycle.
The day after tomorrow is beautiful, but tomorrow is cruel, and many people will fall tomorrow.
This includes abnormal economic data, Mentougou incident, war conflicts, etc.
The correction a few days ago has already caused a group of people to fall,
They were knocked down by abnormal economic data (non-agricultural data).
Yesterday, another group of people who shorted fell,
They were knocked down by abnormal economic data (CPI).
Yesterday, those who chased high and opened long fell again,
They were knocked down by Lao Bao’s speech.
In such a complicated situation,
How to see the development of the market in the future, how to operate now?
We have to think about the problem from the perspective of dog dealers.
Now many cottages have fallen to a more suitable position,
Inflation is falling, and there will be at least one interest rate cut this year and four times next year.
Investment is speculation expectations,
Can they make money by continuing to smash the market,
Or can they make money by going sideways and rising slightly?
It must be to buy low,
Wait for the speculation of interest rate cuts to rise before making money.
Therefore, we just need to hold the currency patiently,
If you buy value spot and don’t chase high PEPE and other coins, don’t panic.
If it is a contract, reduce the position or change to spot.
We must not fall down tomorrow, so that we can see the sun the day after tomorrow#美国5月CPI超预期回落

The European Cup is in June, and there is still more than a month to go. It just so happens that the market fell sharply some time ago. The fan coin sector as a whole has adjusted back a lot. The leader of fan coins CHZ and the three musketeers can also be deployed, namely Lazio (LAZIO), Santos (SANTOS), Porto (PORTO). Among them, Santos has a relatively high increase before, so we can ambush this coin lightly and lower the expectation value. Of course, we must also pay attention to the allocation of positions and deploy in batches, and don’t go all in.

How precious is Bitcoin!
1. In 2028, about 1.58 Bitcoins will be generated every ten minutes.
2. In 2040, about 1.17 Bitcoins will be generated every hour.
3. In 2056, about 1.75 Bitcoins will be generated every day.
4. In 2068, about 1.53 Bitcoins will be generated every week.
5. In 2076, about 1.67 Bitcoins will be generated every month.
6. In 2092, about 1.25 Bitcoins will be generated every year. #币安用户数突破2亿

Recently, foreigners are buying Chinese-themed memes
Foreigners’ fomo point: Chinese whales are waking up! Chinese whales are coming in!
Chinese people’s fomo point: When Americans wake up at night, it will definitely explode! European whales are getting up! It’s going to explode!
The main theme is that they look down on each other😂

Bitcoin is still above 69,000, and the copycats have basically returned to their original state🥲
Is it just people at a new high? #people创新高

In fact, Europe and Canada dare to cut interest rates first, based on the expectation that the Fed will not last long.
But in general, unless the world financial crisis breaks out, even if the Fed cuts interest rates, it will cut interest rates slightly first, and will not cut to a low interest rate level of about 2% at one go.
I have analyzed it before, and if the financial crisis does not break out, then the Fed will at most cut interest rates slightly three times in the next year, reducing interest rates to about 4.5%.
But if the US financial crisis breaks out in the next year, the Fed will be forced to cut interest rates significantly, or even to 0 interest rates at one go.
The Fed is likely to cut interest rates slightly 1-2 times in the second half of this year, which cannot be regarded as a crisis signal.
But if the Fed suddenly expands its balance sheet or cuts interest rates significantly, it can be regarded as a signal of the outbreak of a financial crisis.
It is not the sharp interest rate cut that causes the outbreak of the financial crisis, but the outbreak of the financial crisis that forces the Fed to cut interest rates significantly#非农就业人数高于预期

It seems that everyone has been ripped off by Pew. I browsed around and saw all kinds of screams and howls. It reminded me of the previous bear, which also went down all the way after it went public and returned to zero. I hope this one won’t follow suit. 🤣#meme季节即将到来

The bnb and twt mentioned in the group yesterday are gone🤭#bnb历史新高

Big profits must be a combination of luck (big market) + self-awareness. No matter how awesome a person is, he cannot make money without a big market. There are one or two big markets every year. Many people may feel that trading is very tiring. They can't sleep at night and always want to watch the market. Watching the market is useless. When you stare at the K-line, your inner emotions are affected all the time, and you may make blind operations. Make a good trading plan. There is no need to watch the market. The closer you are to the market, the farther you are from wealth. Spend your time reading and thinking.

Dog tripled in one month, I almost forgot about it😂, those who follow can take profit at 60%#MegadropLista

To summarize the Ethereum currencies
The news that Ethereum ETF is officially approved will definitely make a big splash
ETH Layer 2:
ARB, OP, STRK, METIS, MANTA, CELO.MNT, MATIC, IMX, SKL, LRC, CTSI, BOBA, COMBO, MODE, CYBER.
As ETH aims to become a global computer, Layer2 is accused of taking on the prosperity of the ETH ecosystem with high TPS and low GAS.
Its importance and value are self-evident. At the same time, layer2 is the sector with the highest market value in the ETH ecosystem. Most of the projects are also typical of the low circulation and high FDV institutional coins that have been criticized recently. ARB, OP, and STRK are three of the four kings, and their FDVs all exceed 10 billion US dollars.
ETH pledge/re-pledge:
LDO, SSV, PRL, SD, FXS, ANKR, ETHEI, REZ
LSD protocol is mainly a node-related pledge service that appeared after ETH Shanghai upgraded from POW to POS. LD0 is the largest service provider, with the highest TVL in the entire network and a circulating market value of 2 billion. SSV is a relatively important infrastructure.
ETH veteran DEFI:
UNI, SUSHI, AAVE, COMP, CRV, MKR, LOTY
DEFI should be the most familiar to everyone. As the largest innovation sector in the last bull market, the application of Defi has been popularized to all aspects of daily life on the chain. Due to the maturity of Defi, this cycle is basically based on previous upgrades, and the degree of innovation is not enough.
ETH meme:
PEPE, SHIB, JOE, SPX
meme is a very strong sector in this bull market, and holding a small amount is not a problem.
Others:
Pendle
Pendle, which separates tokens into principal and interest for trading future income. Pendle also saw a surge in TVL and coin price some time ago. It is a relatively innovative ETH DEFI project. #美国4月核心PCE指标显示通胀放缓

A new week has begun.
Last week we waited for the PCE data,
and this week we have to wait for the non-farm data to be released on Friday.
Before the release of major economic data, big funds will not act rashly.
So we see that BTC is currently trading sideways and falling slightly.
Last night, it plunged downward in panic.
From the on-chain data, it is bearish.
(1) Stablecoins have been flowing out of exchanges for 7 consecutive days, close to the value of May 14, and funds on the exchange are withdrawing.
(2) From yesterday to today, more than 3,000 BTC have flowed into exchanges.
In terms of the international situation, Israel and Hamas have begun to negotiate peace, which is good news.
But Europe and the United States have authorized Ukraine to use military aid to attack Russia's homeland, which is bearish.
From a big cycle perspective, we are currently on the eve of the Fed's interest rate cut cycle.
The day after tomorrow is beautiful, but tomorrow is cruel, and many people will fall tomorrow.
This includes abnormal economic data, the Mentougou incident, war conflicts, etc.
Value coins should be held patiently. #贝莱德IBIT比特币持有量反超灰度GBTC