hansolar21

Visiem "BTC sekos ZELTAM" naratīva sekotājiem...

Katrreiz, kad GLD/SPX bija spēcīgs pieaugums, BTC/SPX bija mēneši ar zemāku veiktspēju.

Ja jūs cerat, ka šoreiz notiks kaut kas cits, jums ir jābūt ļoti labam iemeslam to darīt.

Ja kas, tad šis grafiks saka, mēģiniet atkal ieguldīt pēc 6 mēnešiem. Vismaz.

crypto looking for narratives to explain price action
not the best look imo

g-furry-m

@velo_xyz how is this market moving news???

Kaito nekad nevajadzēja veikt gaisa kritienu, toreiz bija daudz jautrāk publicēt

Daily Vol ed. 2025-04-16 ⚖️

Liquidity grab above 86k and then we’ve sliding down for a couple of hours now.

Alts were showing weakness beforehand, indicating an overall defensive market.

Trump catalyzed the rejection with some more bearish news regarding progress on China tariffs, but BTC has been holding up relatively well.

Some interesting long bids on binance futures getting filled, but spot doesn’t seem to interested to follow atm.

Curious to see what Powell will say tomorrow, but with VIX coming down, I don't think he needs to whip out any financial-stability measures.

(Mostly the same positioning as yesterday)
Positioning : Delta-neutral. Waiting for QE. Looking like we need more pain.
- Long BTC(looking to add around 81k), HYPE
- Short ETH, ENA, APT, SUI, XRP…

Positives
- BTC follows Gold narrative?
- Global M2 breaking out to upside. M2 doesn’t equal liquidity, but it’s had a good correlation. https://t.co/AhwZSC9GeJ

Negatives
- Opex is Thursday as Friday is off. Perhaps some risk off into long weekend? Depends of Powell.
- Earnings are getting adjusted for the tariffs. NVIDIA down 5% on the ban from selling H20s, probably more similar news to come. I'd stay defensive at least towards the end of these until early May.
- Market currently feels like it was expecting QE, but seeing markets kinda stabilize, so risk might have to come off.

Stay safe frens ✌️

🕹️Currently trading mostly on @Lighter_xyz
Closed beta. Early. Points. ZK-tech. 200% apy LP-Vaults. Backed by big names. Use link to join the party. DM for access as I'm running short on codes. Only serious players apply.

met with the man, the legend, the bera(?) @CryptoSources
good to share past-cycle war stories with a true degen
thanks for setting up the dinner @KiKi_Blockverse

Daily Vol ed. 2025-04-15 ⚖️

Portfolio is stable after shifting from Bullish to Neutral.
ETH and some memecoins continued pumping and ate into some of the pnl, but profits from ENA shorts covered the losses.

Feeling comfy being neutral; staying long BTC HYPE, Short alts. Added to more ENA and SUI shorts.

Feels very mid range.

- If Bessent doesn’t seem worried and says he has lots of tools in the toolbox. To me this tells me, be ready for more pain before “QE” QE.
https://t.co/diPf4xero7

- Saylor did a $285m through ATM offering. Supported price pretty well. Previously in March it was $584m. So demand halved. Not great, but be quite volatile.

Positioning : Delta-neutral. Waiting for QE. Looking like we need more pain.
- Long BTC, HYPE
- Short ETH, ENA, APT, SUI, XRP, FARTCOIN…

Positives
- BTC follows Gold narrative?
- Global M2 breaking out to upside. M2 doesn’t equal liquidity, but it’s had a good correlation. https://t.co/AhwZSC9GeJ
Negatives
- 85-86k area is ask heavy for both futures and spot on Binance
- Currently price being held up by idiosyncratic spot buyer on Coinbase
- Delayed QE?
Stay safe frens✌️

🕹️Currently trading mostly on @Lighter_xyz

Closed beta. Early. Points. ZK-tech. 200% apy LP-Vaults. Backed by big names. Use link to join the party. DM for access as I'm running short on codes. Only serious players apply.

덤핑 종착국 대한민국

오늘 -90% 빠진 OM(맨트라)을 보고 묘한 기분이 들어 한글로 글을 써봅니다.
(검머외라 글이 좀 어설플 수 있습니다)

이번주가 ‘이더리움 서울’ 컨프런스라 각 종 해외 프로젝트들이 한국에 와서 자기네 프로젝트랑 코인을 홍보하는 주입니다.

그중에 건전한 프로젝트들도 있겠지만… 그렇지 않은 경우도 많다는 건 잘 아실겁니다.

오늘 한국에서 만트라(OM)라는 프로젝트가 RWA 관련 컨퍼런스를 주최했는데요, 아이러니하게도 어제 몇시간만에 최대 95%까지 폭락하기도 했습니다.
https://t.co/QE2XuzIYYM
순식간에 7조원의 시장가치가 날아간 샘입니다.

스캠 프로젝트인건 분명한데…
이런 프로젝트가 한국에 왜 왔을까요?

결국 또 한국인들을 대상으로 엑싯하려고 온거겠죠.

이름 좀 알리고, 업비트랑 빗썸이랑 상장 관련 회의도 하고, 상장비 네고도하고 상장을 진행하려고 했었겠죠?

다행이도 그전에 언락물량이 관리가 안돼서 한국 피해자는 많지 않아 보입니다.
하지만 이런 행보가 언제까지 반복될지 의문입니다.

한국은 이미 크립토계의 '덤핑 국가'로 자리 잡은 지 오래 됐습니다.

아래 차트는 최근에 상장한 업비트 코인들입니다.
상장시점에 샀을 경우 Virtual는 -73%, Bonk는 -73%, Cow는 -28%.

하입 사이클로 보면, 업비트 상장 시점은 ‘붕괴 단계’에 해당하는 경우가 많습니다.
크립토에서는 스마트 머니 → 기관 투자자 → 대중투자자 → 코리안 투자자로 보시면 될 것같습니다.

위 차트들은 2025년 기준이지만, 김치 프리미엄 데이터를 보면 이 현상이 오래전부터 반복되고 있었음을 알 수 있습니다.
한국의 매수 강도가 가장 높을 때가 늘 꼭짓점이었습니다.
그 다음 바이어가 더 이상 없는 거죠.

그래서 해외 프로젝트들이 시간 들이고 돈 들여서 한국에 오는 겁니다.
엑싯을하려고.

친절을 호의로 착각하지 않았으면 좋겠네요.

Daily Vol ed. 2025-04-14 ⚖️

It’s been a bullish weekend continued off the trump-put on Wed.

TP’d Fartcoin and hedged my longs with alts after a muted reaction from the fake news saying the USG would buy BTC with Gold.

Trump has reverse uno’d everyone with the tariffs, but we’re still seeing interesting strength on the Asian open.

I’m gonna fade it for now. I think this move is mostly done.

Will be looking to buy dips.

Positioning : Delta-neutral. Waiting for QE.
- Long BTC, HYPE
- Short ETH, FARTCOIN, ENA, APT, SUI, XRP…

Positives
- BTC follows Gold narrative?
- Liquidity backstop theory(QE)
- Global M2 breaking out to upside. M2 doesn’t equal liquidity, but it’s had a good correlation.

Negatives
- Not liking the aggressive uptick in futures CVDs over the weekend
- 85k area is ask heavy for both futures and spot on Binance
- Currently price being held up by idiosyncratic spot buyer on Coinbase. Probably fade.

Stay safe frens✌️

🕹️Currently trading mostly on @Lighter_xyz

Closed beta. Early. Points. ZK-tech. 200% apy LP-Vaults. Backed by big names. Use link to join the party. DM for access as I'm running short on codes. Only serious players apply.

Coinbase spot market is being super passive aggressive here in the orderbooks
(binance spot on top, coinbase spot on the bottom)
- Pretty aggressive limit orders placed pushing up price without being picked up on CVDs or coinbase premiums

Probably an institution getting filled.

Tu nezini, cik daudz prieka man sagādā, ka OM nomira pirms korejiešu biržu izmantošanas izejas likviditātē.
https://cointelegraph.com/press-releases/inaugural-mantra-rwa-summit-unites-traditional-finance-and-web3-leaders-in-seoul

Es zinu, ka daudziem no jums tas varētu būt pārsteigums, bet...
Vai jūs zinājāt, ka jūs varat būt optimistisks par perp protokoliem vienlaikus?

Killer iespējas slēpjas acīmredzamā vietā 👀

Pusstundā, un ražas joprojām ir 260%. Mmm.

šonedēļ lielākais ieguvējs ir fartcoin.
otrais lielākais ieguvējs šonedēļ ir gāze.

tas ir saprotams.

Daily Vol ed. 2025-04-11 🐂

Re-added to longs at 79k on this pull back as macro looks like chaos.
DXY selling off as yields and gold are exploding.
Gold continues it's rally as the go-to risk-off narrative.
BTC seems to be in a good position to capture this narrative as the higher beta risk-off asset.
On low timeframes I'm seeing bids hold up BTC price very well considering some of the panic sellers.
Seems to be good spot demand around this 78-80k area.

Positioning : Long. Waiting for QE. Added to HYPE and FARTCOIN as beta
- Long : BTC, HYPE, FARTCOIN
- Short : APT, SUI, XRP

Positives
- Potential resolution Trump tariffs
- Liquidity backstop theory
- Global M2 breaking out to upside. M2 doesn’t equal liquidity, but it’s had a good correlation.
https://t.co/AhwZSC9GeJ

Negatives
- LT option skews back to bearish
- Something breaks
- Delayed QE?

🕹️Currently trading mostly on @Lighter_xyz

Closed beta. Early. Points. ZK-tech. 300% apy LP-Vaults. Backed by big names. Use link to join the party. DM for access as I'm running short on codes. Only serious players apply.

Daily Vol ed. 2025-04-10 ⚖️

Nice news led pop on the delay of Tariffs over night.

Got lucky with a last minute BTC long at 76k support.
This was just a guess more than anything else. It looked like Trump had to take action otherwise markets looked like they were going to break.
I’ve taken partial profits on this long position based on heavier asks in the 82-84k area and seeing LT option skews buying puts again.

I don’t think this delay changes much in the grand scheme of things.
Growth is on downward trajectory with liquidity tightening.
- Consumers won’t change spending habits based on the delay.
- CEOs won’t be aggressively hiring either in this kind of regime.

However there are a sequence of events that could lead to a pretty unforgiving rally.
- Soft CPI this Friday paving the way into cuts and
- QE : The real thing to watch for is FED intervention. If there is indeed a liquidity backstop, you basically close all shorts and go all-in. https://t.co/iOyggisDgS

So the trade is basically like a call option with the strike being the point at which the Fed announces QE with theta eating away at the underlying.

Positioning : Open to a short squeeze. Watching for QE.
- Long BTC, HYPE
- Short ENA, XRP, APT, SUI

Positives
- Trump delays tariffs
- QE soon?
- CNY weaken currency. Basically QE in China.

Negatives
- Orderbooks are heavy asks from 83-85k
- LT option skews dipped on the news, but still in bear territory and trending back towards put premiums
- No QE would likely mean goblin town

Stay safe frens, it’s a jungle out there.

🕹️Currently trading mostly on @Lighter_xyz

Closed beta. Early. Points. ZK-tech. 300% apy LP-Vaults. Backed by big names. Use link to join the party. DM for access as I'm running short on codes. Only serious players apply.

I now fully expect one side to say one google plex % tariffs and the other side to say infinity % tariffs and just win like that

Hiperlīķu apjoms ir vienkārši elpu aizraujošs...