Bitcoin (BTC) Price Outlook: Geopolitical Risks and Uncertainty in the Market

Bitcoin’s price remains highly sensitive to geopolitical developments, particularly policies from the United States and China. If former President Trump adopts aggressive stances similar to Putin’s—such as laying claim to territories like Canada or engaging in military actions involving islands or key straits—this could trigger widespread instability. Such scenarios, including a potential military conflict between China and Taiwan, would undoubtedly have a negative impact on Bitcoin and the broader cryptocurrency market.

On the day of Trump’s inauguration, Bitcoin had the potential to soar to $120,000; however, this scenario now seems increasingly unlikely. Under the influence of Trump’s administration and its potentially hostile policies, Bitcoin’s price could face significant downward pressure, possibly falling to $45,000. If tensions escalate further, such as the US initiating military actions, Bitcoin could see an even steeper decline, with prices potentially dipping to the $12,000–$18,000 range.

Given the current climate of uncertainty and risk, I’ve chosen to hold off on any cryptocurrency investments for now. Instead, I’m monitoring the market closely, waiting for specific tokens to reach lower entry points. For instance, I am aiming for TON to drop to $0.45, HMSTR to $0.0005, and DOGS to $0.0001 before considering any purchases.

The geopolitical situation remains fluid, and the risks of further volatility in the crypto market are high. As such, caution and careful observation will guide my next moves in the

market.

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