The anticipated Santa rally did not materialize, highlighting weakness in the community. The much-discussed 100k level now seems unattainable as we close out 2024. However, the focus has shifted to maintaining BTC at 92K—a level that appear particularly strong.
This 92K level has acted as resistance four times in the past and is now serving as support for the fourth time. Interestingly, the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level aligns with this zone, adding to its significance.
The Bollinger Bands indicate an extreme situation, with prices moving beyond the range of the past 20 candles.
In just two weeks, BTC is down almost 14% from its all-time high (ATH).
In my view, this situation is far from resolved, and 2025 may begin with even weaker dynamics. Why? Financial market fundamentals are deteriorating, the festive period is over, and the next two months are historically the most challenging and inactive.