BlockBeats News reported on November 30th, Societe Generale has predicted that by the end of 2025, the 10-year U.S. bond yield will increase to 4.5%, while the 2-year U.S. bond yield will decrease to 3.5%. This prediction is based on the expectation that the Fed will continue to cut interest rates, which will lead to lower short-term interest rates.
However, this is also expected to increase demand for long-term Treasury bonds as the economy is stimulated and fiscal deficits rise, causing long-term yields to increase. Moreover, Trump’s tariff plan could push up inflation expectations, and the U.S. government is expected to increase the issuance of government bonds to cope with the fiscal deficit, which will also push up yields.
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