The Fed meeting today has everyone on edge, with market expectations leaning towards a potential rate cut. Here's the current sentiment:

⚫ 64% predict a bold 0.50% rate cut, which is not fully priced into the market. If the Fed delivers on this, we could see a short-term rally as the market responds to the surprise.

⚫ 36% anticipate a more cautious 0.25% cut. However, with the market expecting a bigger move, this could trigger short-term selling pressure instead.

Meanwhile, Arthur Hayes, the former head of BitMEX, has a more ominous forecast. At the Token2049 event, he warned that any rate cut could cause a market collapse. With these opposing views, everyone’s bracing for volatility.

Where do you stand?

🔥 – 0.25% Cut

👍 – 0.50% Cut

😱 – Pause or Raise