Some friends asked if Binance restarting Launchpool signals an improving market. My take? It doesn’t.
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This year, most Launchpool events last around a week, with the shortest at just 2 days and the longest at 10. Compare this to last year when events ran 20-40 days, and some in 2022 even extended up to 60 days.
The length of an event—whether a day or a month—doesn't change how rewards are distributed. Rewards are shared based on how much and how long participants stake, but the total airdrop rewards stay the same.
However, when the market is on an upswing or downturn, USDT demand spikes. If Binance launches a long-cycle Launchpool during a healthy market, it might seem out of sync. That’s why you’ll often see shorter Launchpool cycles when things are looking up, while in a crashing market, Binance tends to hold off.
Launchpool helps Binance pull idle USDT back onto the platform. When markets dip, extending the event cycle can lock in these idle funds for longer.
So, the current 20-day Launchpool cycle hints at a sluggish market, but it also suggests that a major crash isn’t likely during this time.
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