I've analysed the market over the past
2 days and this could be BTC bottom.
I've compiled some TA and FA.
Read below!
1. Bitcoin Netflow in Exchanges
There's 68.4k $BTC going out of exchanges. This large amount was last seen in July and Nov 2022.
2. Wyckoff Method
Bitcoin is currently replicating the pattern here. This is where the accumulation starts before the exponential price rally happens.
3. Net Liquidity
Fed Net Liquidity shows a strong spike. The same rate of change that happened in March 2023.
Take note: $BTC price pumped +38% in a week.
x.com/Ashcryptoreal/…
4. Rainbow Chart
In this chart we can see that every time the price reached the purple zone, it never got back to it until BTC reached a new ATH.
The purple zone represents the price button. This is the cheapest zone to buy BTC.
5. Stablecoin Liquidity
$16 billion worth of stablecoin liquidity will enter the market soon.
Read more here: x.com/Ashcryptoreal/…
6. Rate Cut
Multiple market analysts said the interest rate cut is being held until the election. Political move? Who knows.
But Fed Chair Powell says holding rates too high for too long could jeopardize economic growth.
Once the interest rate is down, investors' money will flow in the market.
7. U.S. Presidential Election
The 2024 election is fueled by crypto. Candidates who embraces crypto have a strong winning chance.
Donald Trump, known for his strong stance on crypto, has an 85% chance of winning the election after the presidential debate between him and Biden.
8. Bitcoin Spot ETF.
Last week BTC ETF showed a positive inflow after 3 consecutive weeks of outflow.
9. Personal Note
The price has bottomed, but perhaps we can still see minor red candles due to Mt Gox and German govt fud.
With Fud the worst case scenario or you can say the max pain point- I think will be $44k - $48k
But we know By early 2025, Bitcoin will be easily hit $150,000 - $250,000 so don’t stress about these short term price actions.
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