Odailyによると、CryptoQuantの創設者兼CEOであるKi Young Ju氏は最近、量子コンピューターの脅威に対するビットコインのセキュリティに関するXプラットフォームでの見解を表明した。同氏は、量子コンピューターがビットコインを解読するのはこの10年以内にはあり得ず、次の10年でも可能性は低いと述べた。Ju氏は、理解不足の個人や、この問題を取り巻く根拠のない恐怖、不確実性、疑念(FUD)に惑わされないことの重要性を強調した。
If Bitcoin were to drop to $1, it would represent a complete collapse of the cryptocurrency market. Here’s a detailed analysis of why this scenario is nearly impossible:
1. Bitcoin's Supply and Market Cap
Bitcoin has a hard cap of 21 million coins, with approximately 19 million already mined. Its price is a reflection of its market cap divided by circulating supply. Currently, Bitcoin's market cap is around $1.8 trillion, and a drop to $1 would shrink this to just $19 million. This would effectively erase the value held by millions of investors, institutions, and even governments.
2. Global Adoption and Use Cases
Bitcoin is widely adopted as a store of value, a hedge against inflation, and a medium of exchange in some cases. Major corporations like Tesla and institutional investors such as MicroStrategy hold significant Bitcoin reserves. Countries like El Salvador and the Central African Republic have adopted Bitcoin as legal tender. For Bitcoin to fall to $1, all these stakeholders would need to divest simultaneously, which is highly improbable.
3. Institutional Involvement
Institutional adoption has added a layer of stability to Bitcoin’s price. Banks, investment funds, and payment processors have integrated Bitcoin, providing a strong support system. Such entities wouldn’t abandon Bitcoin unless it was rendered entirely obsolete by technology or regulation.
4. Technological and Network Effects
Bitcoin's underlying blockchain technology is secure and decentralized, providing an immutable ledger for transactions. The network effect, where the value of Bitcoin increases as more people use it, has solidified its position. A $1 price would suggest that the network has been abandoned or its technology rendered useless.
Bitcoin reaching $1 again would require a combination of catastrophic events that disrupt global financial systems, technological advancements, and complete abandonment by its user base. Given the current ecosystem, this scenario is highly unlikely.