November Outlook For Bitcoin Price: Another Pump Or Retrace?
November has frequently emerged as a remarkable month for Bitcoin, as historical records suggest an impressive average price surge of 43%. Such a surge would potentially drive Bitcoin's value to approximately $48,000. However, given that October has already witnessed a substantial price uptick, one must ponder whether Bitcoin will sustain its bullish trajectory or if a reversal could be looming.November Monthly ReturnsHistorically, November has exhibited a strong bullish pattern for Bitcoin, with an average price increase of 43% over the years. If this trend continues in the current year, there's a possibility of Bitcoin reaching the $48,000 mark.Nonetheless, it's essential to acknowledge that this remarkably high average is heavily skewed by the exceptional 453% surge in 2013. If we omit this outlier, the average stabilizes at approximately 11.54%. This adjustment results in a more cautious prediction, suggesting a potential increase to approximately $38,000. Bitcoin monthly returns over the years.Delving further into the historical data, it becomes evident that in 8 out of the past 13 years, November witnessed price surges, making the possibility of another increase this month appear plausible. However, upon closer examination, it's worth noting that in 4 out of the last 5 Novembers, there was a decline in prices.#BTC
Bitcoin to Score 'Golden Cross' After 30% Price Surge in Two Weeks
The forthcoming price pattern would signal a strengthening of bullish momentum.It's important to note that while these indicators are closely monitored by trend-following traders, they rely on historical data and do not consistently provide clear signals of bullish or bearish trends. Bitcoin has encountered nine golden crosses in its history, but three of these, which occurred on July 11, 2014, July 15, 2015, and February 19, 2020, were ultimately invalidated within three months by death crosses, leading to significant downtrends.A trader who maintained a long position for a year after the occurrence of the first two golden crosses, along with the one in May 2020, would have seen their investment grow by triple-digit percentages.Following the September 2021 golden cross, Bitcoin surged to an all-time high of $69,000 within a few weeks, only to almost completely erode those gains within three months, ultimately resulting in a death cross. The upcoming golden cross has the potential to align with its historical reputation, given the positive sentiment surrounding the possible launch of a U.S.-based spot exchange-traded fund (ETF), increased macroeconomic uncertainty, Bitcoin's rising attractiveness as a safe-haven asset, and the forthcoming halving of mining rewards in the next year.Golden cross indicates a bullish shift in long-term trend. (TradingView/CoinDesk) (TradingView/CoinDesk)According to an email from Toronto-based crypto platform FRNT Financial on Wednesday, halvings are considered to have a positive impact on BTC's price. They achieve this by diminishing the selling pressure from miners and slowing down the rate at which BTC's supply is expanded.#BTC